A-S was quoting at best bid/ask (0% win) — orders filled but
0.04% round-trip maker fee exceeded spread capture.
Now: bid+1 / ask-1 = captures spread minus 1 tick each side.
Signal-driven strategies: same 1-tick pricing instead of
0.03% offset that crossed the book or sat too far away.
Added fcntl file lock to prevent duplicate live nodes.
Added IOC fallback (market-crossing) when post-only rejected.
A-S win rate: 0% → 25% (first 8 trades with new pricing)
Dashboard (dashboard/):
- New /api/vbt/results — list VBT backtest results with full metrics
- New /api/vbt/result/{file} — load result + equity curve (auto-decimated >500pts)
- New /api/vbt/run — run backtests on-demand from the UI
- New /api/vbt/sweep — parameter sweep as heatmap data
- New /api/vbt/strategies — list available strategy keys
- New /vbt — interactive HTML dashboard (Plotly.js):
- Equity curve chart with area fill
- Drawdown waterfall chart
- Returns distribution histogram
- Metric cards: Sharpe, Sortino, max DD, win rate, profit factor
- Strategy filter sidebar
- One-click backtest runner
- Fix BACKTEST_DIR auto-detection for local/dev paths
API verified: all 5 endpoints tested against live data
- Fix add_venue call with required OmsType, AccountType, Money params
- Fix Bar volume precision to match instrument size_precision
- Fix subscribe_bars to use BarType not InstrumentId
- Fix _submit_order to gracefully handle NT internal API
- All tests pass: VBT, NT, signals, paper exec, param sweep
1. Live dashboard now shows real open orders (87) and positions (2)
from Hyperliquid API, cached every 5s to avoid 429 rate limit.
2. A-S gamma scaling: gamma*500K gives ~0 skew at max inventory
(was bash.003, functionally identical to naive dual-quote).
3. Mean Reversion: 60-tick window with 0.5σ threshold
(20s of 1s ticks was noise, not mean-reverting).
4. Sizes reduced for margin safety (wallet 86, 9 concurrent orders).
5. Kalman win_rate bug fixed: added net_pnl/gross_pnl field support.
1. A-S reservation price now uses gamma*500000 scaling.
Before: bash.003 skew on 4K BTC (invisible, same as naive dual-quote)
After: ~0 skew at max inventory (0.05% of mid — enough to suppress one side)
2. Mean Reversion: 20-tick → 60-tick window, threshold 1.0σ → 0.5σ.
20 seconds of 1s ticks is noise, not mean-reverting.
60 seconds captures real short-term reversion dynamics.
Fill attribution verified: BTC sizes differ by 50 μBTC, ETH by 0.0025 — all above matching tolerance.
Orderbook null guards present — no crash on failed fetch.
Bug: win_rate() only checked pnl_net/pnl_gross/pnl fields,
but Kalman backtests save trades with net_pnl/gross_pnl (underscore-first).
Result: all 4 Kalman assets showed 0% win on 27-35 trades.
After fix:
BTC: 0% → 45% (16/35)
ETH: 0% → 47% (16/34)
HYPE: 0% → 51% (14/27)
VVV: 0% → 57% (19/33)
Also corrected paper trader coin assignments for Mean Reversion
and Momentum Breakout (was BTC, should be ETH).
The AS optimal spread formula gives absurd spreads at crypto scale.
Real market makers quote at the MARKET spread (best bid/ask) and use
AS to decide WHEN to quote based on inventory-adjusted fair value:
r = s - q * gamma * sigma^2 * tau
If r < best_bid (long-biased) → stop quoting bid
If r > best_ask (short-biased) → stop quoting ask
If circuit breaker active → pause both sides
Decoupled: spread is market-driven, inventory skew is AS-driven.
Bug: /api/backtest/{name} only looked in backtests/results/,
but all historical backtests are saved in backtests/results/historical/.
Fix: check HISTORICAL_DIR first, then fall back to BACKTEST_DIR.
This fixes SPX backtest detail showing zero prices/fees.
Root cause: VWAP weighted the current price highest so dev≈0 always.
- Use prior 19 prices (exclude current) for mean/std calculation
- Compare current price vs prior mean, normalized by prior std
- Paper trader: was using BTC prices instead of ETH (wrong coin)
- Threshold unified: 1.0σ (was 1.5σ in paper, 1.0σ in live)
Backtests show BTC Mean Reversion: +76.42% PnL, 91% win, 22 trades.
Live node:
- Added Hurst VPIN to STRATEGIES (BTC, 0.00024 size, 00)
- Feed BTC price into dollar-bar Hurst/VPIN every 5 ticks
- Signal: BUY/SELL when H>0.55 + VPIN>0.25 + direction bias
Paper trader:
- Added Kalman Pairs, Avellaneda-Stoikov, Hurst VPIN strategies
- All 00 allocation, matching live node asset distribution
- Hurst/VPIN signal from BTC mid-price dollar bars
Strategy file: hurst_vpin_live.py (lightweight price-tick mode)
Header/Tabs: Hallmark Cobalt aesthetic
- Hairlines, cool paper bg, JetBrains Mono + Inter
- Electric cobalt accent on active tab
- No branding, no purple badges, no gradients
QuantReport: inline in strategy detail view
- Renders below trade history on every tab
- API maps strategy name -> file prefix
- Proper backtestId from historical data
Server: strategy-name-to-prefix lookup
ofi, avellaneda, iceberg, momentum, mean_rev,
funding_arb, kalman_pairs, pairs
Removed: FTDT Quant Lab branding, purple badges, green pulse dot,
shadcn Tabs dependency, backdrop blur noise
Replaced with: Hallmark Cobalt engineered aesthetic
- Hairline borders (#e0e4ec), cool paper (#f8f9fb)
- JetBrains Mono header labels, Inter tab buttons
- Electric cobalt (#0ea5e9) signal accent on active tab
- Flat text labels: Live · Paper · Historical
- Status dot + CONNECTED/OFFLINE subtle indicator
- No shadows, no gradients, no rounded cards
- API: fuzzy matcher resolves files by strategy name substring
- Frontend: backtestId now uses historical[name].name (the filename)
- Server restarted with quant_report endpoint
Backend: strategies/quant_report.py
- equityCurve: daily PnL from trade history
- monthlyReturns: heatmap matrix (years x months)
- yearlyReturns: bar chart data with mean
- monthlyReturnDistribution: histogram bins
- qqPlot: theoretical vs observed quantiles
- rollingStats: 6-month rolling return + volatility
API: /api/quant-report/{name}
Computes full report from any backtest JSON file
Frontend: QuantReport.tsx
- Strategy Performance chart (equity curve, blue line)
- Monthly Returns heatmap (blue saturation)
- Yearly Returns bar chart with mean line
- Distribution histogram
- Normal QQ plot with diagonal reference
- Rolling Statistics (6-month, dual line)
- QF-Lib header with logo and metadata
- Access via QF-Lib Report button in detail view
New: strategies/persistence.py
Tables: strategies_snap, trade_log, equity_history, fill_tracker
Auto-creates on first use, batches inserts per tick
Fix: seen_fills loads from PG (not 2000 API fills)
Before: every restart loaded all 2000 fills from API into
seen_fills, blocking new fills with matching TIDs for ~20min
After: only loads last 100 from API + full history from PG.
New fills saved to PG immediately - survives restarts.
Live node integration:
- write_metrics() → save_strategies() every tick
- On fill → save_trade() to trade_log
- On fill → TID saved to fill_tracker for cross-restart dedup
- 6 BTC strategies now have unique sizes (0.000200-0.000250)
- Fill attribution uses tighter tolerance (1e-6) for unambiguous matching
- Testnet meta API returns null -> fallback to mainnet for perp loading
- All strategies placing orders with correct isolation
Root cause: OrderBookDepthMap was only in non-OBI detail branch.
When user clicked Order Book Imbalance card, the OBIDetail component
replaced the entire detail view, and the tape was never mounted.
Fix: Added OrderBookDepthMap to OBIDetail component below trade history.
Now visible in ALL strategy detail views (both OBI and non-OBI).
ramseshk