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ftdt-quant-lab/backtests/results/momentum_BTC_4h_720_20260810-083323.json
T
ramseshk ad4036713e feat: recent-window backtests (week/month/year) — 207 clean results 
Archived 639 old full-history results. Re-ran sweep on time-windowed
bar limits matching practical trading horizons:

  Last week bars:  1h=168, 4h=42,  1d=7
  Last month bars: 1h=720, 4h=180, 1d=30
  Last year bars:  1h=5000, 4h=2190, 1d=365

270/270 sweep succeeded, 63 zero-trade files archived.
207 results with real trades remain.

Key findings on RECENT (year) data only:

  grid_mm:    S=13.8 (1h), S=9.3 (4h), S=8.1 (1d)
  as_mm:      S=14.8 (1h), S=8.0 (4h), S=3.3 (1d)
  composite:  S=3.2 (1h), S=2.3 (4h), S=0.7 (1d)
  mean_rev:   1d only viable (S=3.5)

  Directional strategies (momentum, obi, iceberg, hurst_vpin)
  all show near-zero or negative Sharpe on recent data.

  Market-making dominates in sideways crypto markets.

Added --window flag to sweep_runner for week/month/year presets
2026-08-10 16:35:25 +08:00

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{"strategy": "momentum", "interval": "4h", "n_bars": 721, "start_equity": 10000.0, "end_equity": 8411.66, "total_return_pct": -15.88, "pnl": -1588.34, "sharpe": -1.703, "sortino": -2.289, "max_drawdown_pct": 26.17, "win_rate": 0.455, "profit_factor": 0.44, "expectancy": -80.05, "trades": [{"time": "2026-04-18 20:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.128486, "entry_px": 77794.72, "exit_px": 75566.36, "pnl_gross": -295.1792, "pnl_net": -304.0463, "fee": 8.867138, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": -2.953, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-04-21 16:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.131416, "entry_px": 73814.74, "exit_px": 74897.03, "pnl_gross": 133.4357, "pnl_net": 124.6413, "fee": 8.794398, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": 1.376, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-04-24 16:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.126766, "entry_px": 77574.5, "exit_px": 77516.41, "pnl_gross": -16.2111, "pnl_net": -25.0582, "fee": 8.847114, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": -0.165, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-04-27 04:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.124758, "entry_px": 78693.61, "exit_px": 77490.43, "pnl_gross": -158.8746, "pnl_net": -167.6429, "fee": 8.768344, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": -1.618, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-05-07 08:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.123054, "entry_px": 78492.41, "exit_px": 80745.17, "pnl_gross": 268.394, "pnl_net": 259.5763, "fee": 8.81767, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": 2.779, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-05-12 04:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.12187, "entry_px": 81456.37, "exit_px": 80762.16, "pnl_gross": -93.5007, "pnl_net": -102.397, "fee": 8.896308, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": -0.942, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-05-15 12:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.124666, "entry_px": 78879.8, "exit_px": 79038.88, "pnl_gross": 10.9728, "pnl_net": 2.1136, "fee": 8.859191, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": 0.112, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-05-22 12:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.125966, "entry_px": 78153.07, "exit_px": 76693.23, "pnl_gross": -192.6678, "pnl_net": -201.4452, "fee": 8.777416, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": -1.957, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-05-24 12:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.12717, "entry_px": 75898.82, "exit_px": 76241.68, "pnl_gross": 34.8948, "pnl_net": 26.1883, "fee": 8.706468, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": 0.362, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-05-31 16:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.127958, "entry_px": 75703.63, "exit_px": 73467.46, "pnl_gross": -294.7258, "pnl_net": -303.3152, "fee": 8.589435, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": -3.043, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-06-07 16:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.129498, "entry_px": 72528.46, "exit_px": 61238.7, "pnl_gross": -1469.7994, "pnl_net": -1477.5945, "fee": 7.795161, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": -15.649, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-06-17 04:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.120439, "entry_px": 65785.72, "exit_px": 65445.49, "pnl_gross": -48.0895, "pnl_net": -55.2019, "fee": 7.11241, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": -0.607, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-06-21 20:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.126201, "entry_px": 62401.34, "exit_px": 63206.73, "pnl_gross": 94.5077, "pnl_net": 87.3744, "fee": 7.133339, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": 1.2, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-06-27 16:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.126672, "entry_px": 62914.85, "exit_px": 60084.86, "pnl_gross": -365.4936, "pnl_net": -372.5049, "fee": 7.011279, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": -4.586, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-07-06 08:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.128413, "entry_px": 59217.16, "exit_px": 62438.5, "pnl_gross": 406.6315, "pnl_net": 399.6015, "fee": 7.029976, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": 5.347, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-07-08 00:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.124937, "entry_px": 64118.05, "exit_px": 62683.25, "pnl_gross": -186.388, "pnl_net": -193.5169, "fee": 7.128978, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": -2.327, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-07-12 20:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.126676, "entry_px": 61766.7, "exit_px": 63716.22, "pnl_gross": 239.8045, "pnl_net": 232.6515, "fee": 7.153053, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": 3.065, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-07-16 20:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.128258, "entry_px": 62873.81, "exit_px": 63751.18, "pnl_gross": 105.2221, "pnl_net": 97.9138, "fee": 7.308301, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": 1.305, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-07-23 00:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.124473, "entry_px": 65630.56, "exit_px": 65560.37, "pnl_gross": -16.0853, "pnl_net": -23.4337, "fee": 7.348378, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": -0.197, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-07-27 12:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.127097, "entry_px": 64149.08, "exit_px": 64449.49, "pnl_gross": 30.8251, "pnl_net": 23.4701, "fee": 7.355022, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": 0.378, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-07-29 12:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.129119, "entry_px": 63383.32, "exit_px": 63879.06, "pnl_gross": 56.6147, "pnl_net": 49.2203, "fee": 7.394396, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": 0.692, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-08-03 00:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.131287, "entry_px": 62767.7, "exit_px": 62783.15, "pnl_gross": -5.3892, "pnl_net": -12.8066, "fee": 7.417437, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": -0.065, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-08-10 08:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.128885, "entry_px": 63895.83, "exit_px": 65265.0, "pnl_gross": 172.7589, "pnl_net": 165.2678, "fee": 7.491102, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": 2.098, "duration": ""}], "params": {"bollinger_window": 20, "bollinger_std": 2.0, "type": "Momentum"}, "fee_info": {"entry_fee": 0.045, "exit_fee": 0.045, "total_fee": 0.09, "taker_rate_pct": 0.045, "maker_rate_pct": 0.015, "effective_rate_pct": 0.045, "vip_tier": 0, "staking_tier": "none", "fee_model": "taker", "tier_name": "Tier 0 (<$5M)", "staking_name": "No Stake"}, "equity_curve": [{"t": "2026-04-12T08:00:00+00:00", "v": 10000.0}, {"t": "2026-04-12T12:00:00+00:00", "v": 10000.0}, {"t": "2026-04-12T16:00:00+00:00", "v": 10000.0}, {"t": "2026-04-12T20:00:00+00:00", "v": 10000.0}, {"t": "2026-04-13T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 10000.0}, {"t": "2026-04-13T04:00:00+00:00", "v": 10000.0}, {"t": "2026-04-13T08:00:00+00:00", "v": 10000.0}, {"t": "2026-04-13T12:00:00+00:00", "v": 10000.0}, {"t": "2026-04-13T16:00:00+00:00", "v": 10000.0}, {"t": "2026-04-13T20:00:00+00:00", "v": 10000.0}, {"t": "2026-04-14T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 10000.0}, {"t": "2026-04-14T04:00:00+00:00", "v": 10000.0}, {"t": "2026-04-14T08:00:00+00:00", "v": 10000.0}, {"t": 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