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ftdt-quant-lab/backtests/results/obi_BTC_4h_720_20260810-082946.json
T
ramseshk ad4036713e feat: recent-window backtests (week/month/year) — 207 clean results 
Archived 639 old full-history results. Re-ran sweep on time-windowed
bar limits matching practical trading horizons:

  Last week bars:  1h=168, 4h=42,  1d=7
  Last month bars: 1h=720, 4h=180, 1d=30
  Last year bars:  1h=5000, 4h=2190, 1d=365

270/270 sweep succeeded, 63 zero-trade files archived.
207 results with real trades remain.

Key findings on RECENT (year) data only:

  grid_mm:    S=13.8 (1h), S=9.3 (4h), S=8.1 (1d)
  as_mm:      S=14.8 (1h), S=8.0 (4h), S=3.3 (1d)
  composite:  S=3.2 (1h), S=2.3 (4h), S=0.7 (1d)
  mean_rev:   1d only viable (S=3.5)

  Directional strategies (momentum, obi, iceberg, hurst_vpin)
  all show near-zero or negative Sharpe on recent data.

  Market-making dominates in sideways crypto markets.

Added --window flag to sweep_runner for week/month/year presets
2026-08-10 16:35:25 +08:00

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{"strategy": "obi", "interval": "4h", "n_bars": 721, "start_equity": 10000.0, "end_equity": 8525.66, "total_return_pct": -14.74, "pnl": -1474.34, "sharpe": -1.97, "sortino": -2.705, "max_drawdown_pct": 22.39, "win_rate": 0.312, "profit_factor": 0.368, "expectancy": -92.146, "trades": [{"time": "2026-04-19 20:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.133759, "entry_px": 74727.65, "exit_px": 73667.26, "pnl_gross": -150.7694, "pnl_net": -159.7016, "fee": 8.93212, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": -1.508, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-04-27 00:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.126769, "entry_px": 77659.58, "exit_px": 78981.94, "pnl_gross": 158.6977, "pnl_net": 149.7619, "fee": 8.93578, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": 1.612, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-05-07 00:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.122521, "entry_px": 81646.56, "exit_px": 80717.2, "pnl_gross": -122.8184, "pnl_net": -131.7703, "fee": 8.951837, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": -1.228, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-05-13 08:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.120135, "entry_px": 82246.16, "exit_px": 80378.54, "pnl_gross": -233.159, "pnl_net": -241.9506, "fee": 8.791613, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": -2.36, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-05-20 08:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.12351, "entry_px": 78112.03, "exit_px": 77281.64, "pnl_gross": -111.1985, "pnl_net": -119.8352, "fee": 8.636702, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": -1.153, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-05-30 16:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.12698, "entry_px": 75102.03, "exit_px": 73906.02, "pnl_gross": -160.3835, "pnl_net": -168.898, "fee": 8.514469, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": -1.682, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-06-06 08:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.139204, "entry_px": 67355.29, "exit_px": 60713.23, "pnl_gross": -932.6264, "pnl_net": -940.6489, "fee": 8.022443, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": -9.947, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-06-23 04:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.130174, "entry_px": 64866.8, "exit_px": 62789.15, "pnl_gross": -277.9335, "pnl_net": -285.4113, "fee": 7.477869, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": -3.292, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-06-28 00:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.136096, "entry_px": 60002.94, "exit_px": 60111.83, "pnl_gross": 7.4626, "pnl_net": 0.1064, "fee": 7.356213, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": 0.091, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-06-29 12:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.136056, "entry_px": 60075.01, "exit_px": 59732.21, "pnl_gross": -53.9763, "pnl_net": -61.3116, "fee": 7.335221, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": -0.66, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-07-02 00:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.139001, "entry_px": 58414.36, "exit_px": 61005.93, "pnl_gross": 352.7615, "pnl_net": 345.2917, "fee": 7.469793, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": 4.345, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-07-09 00:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.135256, "entry_px": 62638.58, "exit_px": 61901.04, "pnl_gross": -107.3367, "pnl_net": -114.9168, "fee": 7.580129, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": -1.267, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-07-14 12:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.133417, "entry_px": 62697.63, "exit_px": 64662.27, "pnl_gross": 254.4705, "pnl_net": 246.8241, "fee": 7.646389, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": 3.042, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-07-23 16:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.132495, "entry_px": 65053.99, "exit_px": 64769.17, "pnl_gross": -45.4779, "pnl_net": -53.2184, "fee": 7.740414, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": -0.528, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-08-03 12:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.132766, "entry_px": 64578.51, "exit_px": 63597.34, "pnl_gross": -137.9249, "pnl_net": -145.5827, "fee": 7.657828, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": -1.609, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-08-08 00:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.131358, "entry_px": 64221.16, "exit_px": 64933.0, "pnl_gross": 85.8724, "pnl_net": 78.2379, "fee": 7.634444, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": 1.018, "duration": ""}], "params": {"obi_lookback": 20, "obi_entry": 0.35, "obi_exit": 0.1, "type": "Reversal"}, "fee_info": {"entry_fee": 0.045, "exit_fee": 0.045, "total_fee": 0.09, "taker_rate_pct": 0.045, "maker_rate_pct": 0.015, "effective_rate_pct": 0.045, "vip_tier": 0, "staking_tier": "none", "fee_model": "taker", "tier_name": "Tier 0 (<$5M)", "staking_name": "No Stake"}, "equity_curve": [{"t": "2026-04-12T08:00:00+00:00", "v": 10000.0}, {"t": "2026-04-12T12:00:00+00:00", "v": 10000.0}, {"t": "2026-04-12T16:00:00+00:00", "v": 10000.0}, {"t": "2026-04-12T20:00:00+00:00", "v": 10000.0}, {"t": "2026-04-13T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 10000.0}, {"t": "2026-04-13T04:00:00+00:00", "v": 10000.0}, {"t": "2026-04-13T08:00:00+00:00", "v": 10000.0}, {"t": 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