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ftdt-quant-lab/backtests/results/momentum_BTC_1h_365_20260810-083317.json
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ramseshk ad4036713e feat: recent-window backtests (week/month/year) — 207 clean results 
Archived 639 old full-history results. Re-ran sweep on time-windowed
bar limits matching practical trading horizons:

  Last week bars:  1h=168, 4h=42,  1d=7
  Last month bars: 1h=720, 4h=180, 1d=30
  Last year bars:  1h=5000, 4h=2190, 1d=365

270/270 sweep succeeded, 63 zero-trade files archived.
207 results with real trades remain.

Key findings on RECENT (year) data only:

  grid_mm:    S=13.8 (1h), S=9.3 (4h), S=8.1 (1d)
  as_mm:      S=14.8 (1h), S=8.0 (4h), S=3.3 (1d)
  composite:  S=3.2 (1h), S=2.3 (4h), S=0.7 (1d)
  mean_rev:   1d only viable (S=3.5)

  Directional strategies (momentum, obi, iceberg, hurst_vpin)
  all show near-zero or negative Sharpe on recent data.

  Market-making dominates in sideways crypto markets.

Added --window flag to sweep_runner for week/month/year presets
2026-08-10 16:35:25 +08:00

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{"strategy": "momentum", "interval": "1h", "n_bars": 366, "start_equity": 10000.0, "end_equity": 9606.58, "total_return_pct": -3.93, "pnl": -393.42, "sharpe": -4.203, "sortino": -5.673, "max_drawdown_pct": 4.65, "win_rate": 0.364, "profit_factor": 0.214, "expectancy": -35.765, "trades": [{"time": "2026-07-27 11:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.152737, "entry_px": 65442.38, "exit_px": 65008.93, "pnl_gross": -75.1704, "pnl_net": -84.1365, "fee": 8.966134, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": -0.752, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-07-29 14:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.153617, "entry_px": 64578.51, "exit_px": 64014.92, "pnl_gross": -95.4669, "pnl_net": -104.3563, "fee": 8.889362, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": -0.962, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-07-31 01:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.151253, "entry_px": 64956.89, "exit_px": 64465.47, "pnl_gross": -83.1382, "pnl_net": -91.9472, "fee": 8.808984, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": -0.846, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-08-01 15:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.152259, "entry_px": 63981.92, "exit_px": 62919.02, "pnl_gross": -170.5312, "pnl_net": -179.226, "fee": 8.694815, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": -1.751, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-08-02 11:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.152562, "entry_px": 62737.67, "exit_px": 62947.99, "pnl_gross": 23.4572, "pnl_net": 14.8286, "fee": 8.628685, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": 0.245, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-08-04 08:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.15252, "entry_px": 62908.85, "exit_px": 63493.44, "pnl_gross": 80.487, "pnl_net": 71.8115, "fee": 8.675495, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": 0.839, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-08-05 08:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.150797, "entry_px": 64161.1, "exit_px": 64027.91, "pnl_gross": -28.7832, "pnl_net": -37.4819, "fee": 8.698733, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": -0.297, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-08-06 09:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.149113, "entry_px": 64692.63, "exit_px": 64589.35, "pnl_gross": -24.0756, "pnl_net": -32.7506, "fee": 8.674931, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": -0.25, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-08-06 15:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.149284, "entry_px": 64457.39, "exit_px": 64533.4, "pnl_gross": 2.6816, "pnl_net": -5.9837, "fee": 8.665317, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": 0.028, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-08-08 21:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.148399, "entry_px": 64859.79, "exit_px": 64922.01, "pnl_gross": 0.5663, "pnl_net": -8.1005, "fee": 8.66677, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": 0.006, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-08-09 23:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.148309, "entry_px": 64902.84, "exit_px": 64803.13, "pnl_gross": -23.4438, "pnl_net": -32.1003, "fee": 8.656453, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": -0.244, "duration": ""}], "params": {"bollinger_window": 20, "bollinger_std": 2.0, "type": "Momentum"}, "fee_info": {"entry_fee": 0.045, "exit_fee": 0.045, "total_fee": 0.09, "taker_rate_pct": 0.045, "maker_rate_pct": 0.015, "effective_rate_pct": 0.045, "vip_tier": 0, "staking_tier": "none", "fee_model": "taker", "tier_name": "Tier 0 (<$5M)", "staking_name": "No Stake"}, "equity_curve": [{"t": "2026-07-26T03:00:00+00:00", "v": 10000.0}, {"t": "2026-07-26T04:00:00+00:00", "v": 10000.0}, {"t": "2026-07-26T05:00:00+00:00", "v": 10000.0}, {"t": "2026-07-26T06:00:00+00:00", "v": 10000.0}, {"t": "2026-07-26T07:00:00+00:00", "v": 10000.0}, {"t": "2026-07-26T08:00:00+00:00", "v": 10000.0}, {"t": "2026-07-26T09:00:00+00:00", "v": 10000.0}, {"t": "2026-07-26T10:00:00+00:00", "v": 10000.0}, {"t": "2026-07-26T11:00:00+00:00", "v": 10000.0}, {"t": "2026-07-26T12:00:00+00:00", "v": 10000.0}, {"t": "2026-07-26T13:00:00+00:00", "v": 10000.0}, {"t": "2026-07-26T14:00:00+00:00", "v": 10000.0}, {"t": 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