rams/hk-weather-mkt
1
0
Fork 0
Code Issues Pull Requests Actions Packages Projects Releases Wiki Activity
Files
40f26cf232aa2f9ab30efe31faac5e5d1c9904d3
hk-weather-mkt/data/paper_pnl.csv
T
ramseshk aad4ee8cf6 Add ML dashboard panel, paper trader, time decay model 
- /api/ml endpoint: per-model raw vs calibrated, typhoon, spatial features
- ML Predictions card in web dashboard (color-coded, sorted by confidence)
- Typhoon Probabilities card (T1/T3/T8 now/72h/120h)
- PaperTrader: simulated trading with portfolio Kelly, P&L tracking,
  trade history persistence, auto-resolution after 24h
- TimeDecayModel: theta decay for binary options
  sigma(t) = sigma_0 * (T-t)^beta (beta=0.4 for weather)
  Fair price convergence from 50%→model_prob as expiry approaches
- Paper trader CLI: --track (monitor), --report, --simulate-days

Run dashboard: python web_dashboard.py  # see ML panel
Run paper:  python ml/paper_trader.py --simulate-days 30
2026-08-11 11:15:43 +08:00

2.7 KiB
Raw Blame History

1datebankroll
22026-08-11 11:141000.0
32026-08-11 11:151430.571129983699
42026-08-11 11:151869.9228851208563
52026-08-11 11:152309.2746402580137
62026-08-11 11:152593.77145925936
72026-08-11 11:153033.8015537575993
82026-08-11 11:153457.8650454555836
92026-08-11 11:153885.3876428140006
102026-08-11 11:154385.387642814001
112026-08-11 11:154885.387642814001
122026-08-11 11:155385.387642814001
132026-08-11 11:155885.387642814001
142026-08-11 11:156057.0007397876425
152026-08-11 11:156160.7826990978765
162026-08-11 11:156347.768603660328
172026-08-11 11:155847.768603660328
182026-08-11 11:156347.768603660328
192026-08-11 11:156847.768603660328
202026-08-11 11:156347.768603660328
212026-08-11 11:156847.768603660328
222026-08-11 11:157347.768603660328
232026-08-11 11:156847.768603660328
242026-08-11 11:157215.736592572463
252026-08-11 11:157715.736592572463
262026-08-11 11:158215.736592572463
272026-08-11 11:158715.736592572463
282026-08-11 11:159215.736592572463
292026-08-11 11:159715.736592572463
302026-08-11 11:1510215.736592572463
312026-08-11 11:1510715.736592572463
322026-08-11 11:1510832.307490599274
332026-08-11 11:1511332.307490599274
342026-08-11 11:1511832.307490599274
352026-08-11 11:1512332.307490599274
362026-08-11 11:1512832.307490599274
372026-08-11 11:1513332.307490599274
382026-08-11 11:1513832.307490599274
392026-08-11 11:1514332.307490599274
402026-08-11 11:1514441.807689556865
412026-08-11 11:1513941.807689556865
422026-08-11 11:1514441.807689556865
432026-08-11 11:1514941.807689556865
442026-08-11 11:1515441.807689556865
452026-08-11 11:1515941.807689556865
462026-08-11 11:1516441.807689556867
472026-08-11 11:1516941.807689556867
482026-08-11 11:1516441.807689556867
492026-08-11 11:1516729.018474036096
502026-08-11 11:1517229.018474036096
512026-08-11 11:1517729.018474036096
522026-08-11 11:1518229.018474036096
532026-08-11 11:1518729.018474036096
542026-08-11 11:1519229.018474036096
552026-08-11 11:1519729.018474036096
562026-08-11 11:1520229.018474036096
572026-08-11 11:1520356.41021319305
582026-08-11 11:1520734.229569661333
592026-08-11 11:1521234.229569661333
602026-08-11 11:1521734.229569661333
612026-08-11 11:1522234.229569661333
622026-08-11 11:1522734.229569661333
632026-08-11 11:1523234.229569661333
642026-08-11 11:1523734.229569661333
652026-08-11 11:1524234.229569661333
662026-08-11 11:1524371.707348301075
672026-08-11 11:1524871.707348301075
682026-08-11 11:1525371.707348301075
692026-08-11 11:1525871.707348301075
702026-08-11 11:1526371.707348301075
712026-08-11 11:1526871.707348301075
722026-08-11 11:1527371.707348301075
732026-08-11 11:1527871.707348301075
742026-08-11 11:1527971.49601527572
752026-08-11 11:1528345.77538017773
762026-08-11 11:1528845.77538017773
772026-08-11 11:1529345.77538017773
782026-08-11 11:1529845.77538017773
Reference in New Issue View Git Blame Copy Permalink