HK Weather Prediction Market Pipeline: WeatherNext + HKO + Polymarket

- Open-Meteo WeatherNext API client for HK forecasts
- HKO public data client (current conditions, 9-day forecast, typhoon warnings)
- HK-specific weather extraction and calibration
- Polymarket market scanning, price discovery, and market creation proposals
- Trading strategy engine: edge detection, Kelly criterion sizing, probability calibration
- End-to-end pipeline with dry-run mode and scheduled runner
- Interactive dashboard with live HK weather + forecasts + trading signals

Dependencies: Python 3.10+, openmeteo-requests, pandas
No API keys needed for dry-run mode.
Polymarket trading requires private key in .env.

setup.sh

@@ -0,0 +1,62 @@
+#!/usr/bin/env bash
+set -euo pipefail
+
+PROJECT_DIR="$(cd "$(dirname "$0")" && pwd)"
+cd "$PROJECT_DIR"
+
+echo "=== Setting up HK Weather Prediction Market Pipeline ==="
+
+# Use Python 3.10 for JAX compatibility
+export PYENV_ROOT="$HOME/.pyenv"
+export PATH="$PYENV_ROOT/bin:$PATH"
+eval "$(pyenv init -)"
+
+if ! pyenv versions | grep -q "3.10.17"; then
+    echo "Python 3.10.17 not found in pyenv. Please install it first."
+    exit 1
+fi
+
+if [ ! -d "venv" ]; then
+    pyenv local 3.10.17
+    python -m venv venv
+fi
+
+source venv/bin/activate
+
+echo "=== Installing dependencies ==="
+
+pip install --upgrade pip setuptools wheel
+
+# JAX with CUDA 12 support
+pip install "jax[cuda12]" -f https://storage.googleapis.com/jax-releases/jax_cuda_releases.html
+
+# Data & scientific
+pip install numpy pandas xarray scipy netCDF4 h5netcdf cfgrib
+pip install zarr fsspec gcsfs
+
+# Weather data access
+pip install ecmwf-api-client openmeteo-requests requests-cache retry-requests
+pip install cdsapi
+
+# Polymarket
+pip install py-clob-client websocket-client
+
+# Utilities
+pip install httpx python-dotenv click rich tqdm schedule
+pip install matplotlib cartopy
+
+# WeatherNext itself
+pip install git+https://github.com/google-deepmind/weathernext.git@v0.3.0
+
+echo ""
+echo "=== Verifying installations ==="
+python -c "import jax; print(f'JAX version: {jax.__version__}'); print(f'Devices: {jax.devices()}')"
+python -c "import weathernext; print('WeatherNext imported successfully')"
+
+echo ""
+echo "=== Setup complete ==="
+echo "Next steps:"
+echo "  1. source venv/bin/activate"
+echo "  2. Copy .env.example to .env and fill in API keys"
+echo "  3. Download model weights: python scripts/download_weights.py"
+echo "  4. Run pipeline: python pipeline.py"