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ftdt-quant-lab/backtests/results/as_mm_BTC_4h_365_20260810-082910.json
T
ramseshk ad4036713e feat: recent-window backtests (week/month/year) — 207 clean results 
Archived 639 old full-history results. Re-ran sweep on time-windowed
bar limits matching practical trading horizons:

  Last week bars:  1h=168, 4h=42,  1d=7
  Last month bars: 1h=720, 4h=180, 1d=30
  Last year bars:  1h=5000, 4h=2190, 1d=365

270/270 sweep succeeded, 63 zero-trade files archived.
207 results with real trades remain.

Key findings on RECENT (year) data only:

  grid_mm:    S=13.8 (1h), S=9.3 (4h), S=8.1 (1d)
  as_mm:      S=14.8 (1h), S=8.0 (4h), S=3.3 (1d)
  composite:  S=3.2 (1h), S=2.3 (4h), S=0.7 (1d)
  mean_rev:   1d only viable (S=3.5)

  Directional strategies (momentum, obi, iceberg, hurst_vpin)
  all show near-zero or negative Sharpe on recent data.

  Market-making dominates in sideways crypto markets.

Added --window flag to sweep_runner for week/month/year presets
2026-08-10 16:35:25 +08:00

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{"strategy": "as_mm", "interval": "4h", "n_bars": 366, "start_equity": 10000.0, "end_equity": 9184.42, "total_return_pct": -8.16, "pnl": -815.58, "sharpe": -1.914, "sortino": -2.504, "max_drawdown_pct": 14.39, "win_rate": 0.703, "profit_factor": 0.728, "expectancy": -12.743, "trades": [{"time": "2026-06-14 20:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.155082, "entry_px": 64472.41, "exit_px": 65654.28, "pnl_gross": 180.2599, "pnl_net": 177.2328, "fee": 3.027046, "fee_rate_pct": 0.015, "return_pct": 1.803, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-06-15 12:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.153555, "entry_px": 66287.22, "exit_px": 67193.74, "pnl_gross": 136.1259, "pnl_net": 133.0514, "fee": 3.0745, "fee_rate_pct": 0.015, "return_pct": 1.337, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-06-16 04:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.155827, "entry_px": 66194.13, "exit_px": 66276.66, "pnl_gross": 9.7639, "pnl_net": 6.6675, "fee": 3.096379, "fee_rate_pct": 0.015, "return_pct": 0.095, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-06-17 00:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.157129, "entry_px": 65707.64, "exit_px": 65756.18, "pnl_gross": 4.5279, "pnl_net": 1.4294, "fee": 3.098517, "fee_rate_pct": 0.015, "return_pct": 0.044, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-06-17 16:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.156985, "entry_px": 65796.73, "exit_px": 64222.71, "pnl_gross": -250.1596, "pnl_net": -253.2212, "fee": 3.061665, "fee_rate_pct": 0.015, "return_pct": -2.422, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-06-18 12:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.156166, "entry_px": 64540.48, "exit_px": 62276.66, "pnl_gross": -356.5008, "pnl_net": -359.4715, "fee": 2.970679, "fee_rate_pct": 0.015, "return_pct": -3.537, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-06-19 12:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.154779, "entry_px": 62815.75, "exit_px": 63120.82, "pnl_gross": 44.2935, "pnl_net": 41.3696, "fee": 2.92385, "fee_rate_pct": 0.015, "return_pct": 0.456, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-06-20 04:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.153791, "entry_px": 63507.44, "exit_px": 63553.38, "pnl_gross": 4.1339, "pnl_net": 1.2027, "fee": 2.931122, "fee_rate_pct": 0.015, "return_pct": 0.042, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-06-20 20:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.152743, "entry_px": 63969.91, "exit_px": 64211.72, "pnl_gross": 33.9993, "pnl_net": 31.0624, "fee": 2.936827, "fee_rate_pct": 0.015, "return_pct": 0.348, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-06-21 20:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.152739, "entry_px": 64194.13, "exit_px": 63206.73, "pnl_gross": -153.7338, "pnl_net": -156.6526, "fee": 2.918862, "fee_rate_pct": 0.015, "return_pct": -1.568, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-06-22 12:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.149182, "entry_px": 64694.63, "exit_px": 64737.2, "pnl_gross": 3.454, "pnl_net": 0.5577, "fee": 2.896335, "fee_rate_pct": 0.015, "return_pct": 0.036, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-06-23 04:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.150622, "entry_px": 64099.04, "exit_px": 62789.15, "pnl_gross": -200.1644, "pnl_net": -203.0313, "fee": 2.866823, "fee_rate_pct": 0.015, "return_pct": -2.073, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-06-23 20:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.15141, "entry_px": 62443.38, "exit_px": 62643.29, "pnl_gross": 27.428, "pnl_net": 24.5871, "fee": 2.840906, "fee_rate_pct": 0.015, "return_pct": 0.29, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-06-24 12:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.150635, "entry_px": 62946.88, "exit_px": 60184.75, "pnl_gross": -418.8556, "pnl_net": -421.6377, "fee": 2.78219, "fee_rate_pct": 0.015, "return_pct": -4.417, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-06-25 04:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.148785, "entry_px": 60914.85, "exit_px": 61812.13, "pnl_gross": 130.7616, "pnl_net": 128.0226, "fee": 2.73899, "fee_rate_pct": 0.015, "return_pct": 1.443, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-06-25 20:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.154931, "entry_px": 59342.28, "exit_px": 59699.24, "pnl_gross": 52.5373, "pnl_net": 49.7709, "fee": 2.766483, "fee_rate_pct": 0.015, "return_pct": 0.571, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-06-26 12:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.155543, "entry_px": 59446.39, "exit_px": 60239.7, "pnl_gross": 120.602, "pnl_net": 117.8096, "fee": 2.79245, "fee_rate_pct": 0.015, "return_pct": 1.304, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-06-27 04:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.155237, "entry_px": 60340.28, "exit_px": 60457.48, "pnl_gross": 15.3813, "pnl_net": 12.5684, "fee": 2.812842, "fee_rate_pct": 0.015, "return_pct": 0.164, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-06-28 08:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.155841, "entry_px": 60205.14, "exit_px": 60249.69, "pnl_gross": 4.1262, "pnl_net": 1.3104, "fee": 2.81577, "fee_rate_pct": 0.015, "return_pct": 0.044, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-06-29 00:00:00", "side": "BUY", 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