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ftdt-quant-lab/backtests/results/composite_mm_BTC_4h_720_20260810-083132.json
T
ramseshk ad4036713e feat: recent-window backtests (week/month/year) — 207 clean results 
Archived 639 old full-history results. Re-ran sweep on time-windowed
bar limits matching practical trading horizons:

  Last week bars:  1h=168, 4h=42,  1d=7
  Last month bars: 1h=720, 4h=180, 1d=30
  Last year bars:  1h=5000, 4h=2190, 1d=365

270/270 sweep succeeded, 63 zero-trade files archived.
207 results with real trades remain.

Key findings on RECENT (year) data only:

  grid_mm:    S=13.8 (1h), S=9.3 (4h), S=8.1 (1d)
  as_mm:      S=14.8 (1h), S=8.0 (4h), S=3.3 (1d)
  composite:  S=3.2 (1h), S=2.3 (4h), S=0.7 (1d)
  mean_rev:   1d only viable (S=3.5)

  Directional strategies (momentum, obi, iceberg, hurst_vpin)
  all show near-zero or negative Sharpe on recent data.

  Market-making dominates in sideways crypto markets.

Added --window flag to sweep_runner for week/month/year presets
2026-08-10 16:35:25 +08:00

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{"strategy": "composite_mm", "interval": "4h", "n_bars": 721, "start_equity": 10000.0, "end_equity": 8784.94, "total_return_pct": -12.15, "pnl": -1215.06, "sharpe": -2.467, "sortino": -3.111, "max_drawdown_pct": 17.81, "win_rate": 0.714, "profit_factor": 0.294, "expectancy": -173.58, "trades": [{"time": "2026-04-15 04:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.132713, "entry_px": 75339.26, "exit_px": 73613.31, "pnl_gross": -232.0213, "pnl_net": -234.9865, "fee": 2.965191, "fee_rate_pct": 0.015, "return_pct": -2.321, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-04-29 00:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.128053, "entry_px": 76269.19, "exit_px": 76868.05, "pnl_gross": 73.7447, "pnl_net": 70.8033, "fee": 2.941452, "fee_rate_pct": 0.015, "return_pct": 0.755, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-05-29 12:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.134233, "entry_px": 73307.23, "exit_px": 73702.22, "pnl_gross": 50.0607, "pnl_net": 47.1006, "fee": 2.960028, "fee_rate_pct": 0.015, "return_pct": 0.509, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-06-07 00:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.136364, "entry_px": 72528.46, "exit_px": 61624.31, "pnl_gross": -1489.681, "pnl_net": -1492.425, "fee": 2.744041, "fee_rate_pct": 0.015, "return_pct": -15.062, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-06-10 12:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.137331, "entry_px": 61172.11, "exit_px": 62546.39, "pnl_gross": 186.183, "pnl_net": 183.6345, "fee": 2.548558, "fee_rate_pct": 0.015, "return_pct": 2.216, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-06-25 00:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.142392, "entry_px": 60305.24, "exit_px": 60793.15, "pnl_gross": 66.8868, "pnl_net": 64.3003, "fee": 2.586516, "fee_rate_pct": 0.015, "return_pct": 0.779, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-07-17 20:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.137577, "entry_px": 62901.84, "exit_px": 63864.07, "pnl_gross": 129.7655, "pnl_net": 127.1495, "fee": 2.616011, "fee_rate_pct": 0.015, "return_pct": 1.5, "duration": ""}], "params": {"obi_weight": 0.3, "as_weight": 0.4, "hurst_weight": 0.3, "entry_score": 0.5, "type": "Ensemble"}, "fee_info": {"entry_fee": 0.015, "exit_fee": 0.015, "total_fee": 0.03, "taker_rate_pct": 0.045, "maker_rate_pct": 0.015, "effective_rate_pct": 0.015, "vip_tier": 0, "staking_tier": "none", "fee_model": "maker", "tier_name": "Tier 0 (<$5M)", "staking_name": "No Stake"}, "equity_curve": [{"t": "2026-04-12T08:00:00+00:00", "v": 10000.0}, {"t": "2026-04-12T12:00:00+00:00", "v": 10000.0}, {"t": "2026-04-12T16:00:00+00:00", "v": 10000.0}, {"t": "2026-04-12T20:00:00+00:00", "v": 10000.0}, {"t": "2026-04-13T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 10000.0}, {"t": "2026-04-13T04:00:00+00:00", "v": 10000.0}, {"t": "2026-04-13T08:00:00+00:00", "v": 10000.0}, {"t": "2026-04-13T12:00:00+00:00", "v": 10000.0}, {"t": "2026-04-13T16:00:00+00:00", "v": 10000.0}, {"t": "2026-04-13T20:00:00+00:00", "v": 10000.0}, {"t": "2026-04-14T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 10000.0}, {"t": 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