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ftdt-quant-lab/backtests/results/obi_BTC_4h_365_20260810-082956.json
T
ramseshk ad4036713e feat: recent-window backtests (week/month/year) — 207 clean results 
Archived 639 old full-history results. Re-ran sweep on time-windowed
bar limits matching practical trading horizons:

  Last week bars:  1h=168, 4h=42,  1d=7
  Last month bars: 1h=720, 4h=180, 1d=30
  Last year bars:  1h=5000, 4h=2190, 1d=365

270/270 sweep succeeded, 63 zero-trade files archived.
207 results with real trades remain.

Key findings on RECENT (year) data only:

  grid_mm:    S=13.8 (1h), S=9.3 (4h), S=8.1 (1d)
  as_mm:      S=14.8 (1h), S=8.0 (4h), S=3.3 (1d)
  composite:  S=3.2 (1h), S=2.3 (4h), S=0.7 (1d)
  mean_rev:   1d only viable (S=3.5)

  Directional strategies (momentum, obi, iceberg, hurst_vpin)
  all show near-zero or negative Sharpe on recent data.

  Market-making dominates in sideways crypto markets.

Added --window flag to sweep_runner for week/month/year presets
2026-08-10 16:35:25 +08:00

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{"strategy": "obi", "interval": "4h", "n_bars": 366, "start_equity": 10000.0, "end_equity": 10092.23, "total_return_pct": 0.92, "pnl": 92.23, "sharpe": 0.349, "sortino": 0.52, "max_drawdown_pct": 6.02, "win_rate": 0.444, "profit_factor": 1.125, "expectancy": 10.248, "trades": [{"time": "2026-06-23 04:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.154093, "entry_px": 64866.8, "exit_px": 62789.15, "pnl_gross": -329.0032, "pnl_net": -337.8551, "fee": 8.8519, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": -3.292, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-06-28 00:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.161103, "entry_px": 60002.94, "exit_px": 60111.83, "pnl_gross": 8.8338, "pnl_net": 0.1259, "fee": 8.707882, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": 0.091, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-06-29 12:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.161057, "entry_px": 60075.01, "exit_px": 59732.21, "pnl_gross": -63.8944, "pnl_net": -72.5775, "fee": 8.683106, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": -0.66, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-07-02 00:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.164542, "entry_px": 58414.36, "exit_px": 61005.93, "pnl_gross": 417.5807, "pnl_net": 408.7384, "fee": 8.842344, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": 4.345, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-07-09 00:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.160109, "entry_px": 62638.58, "exit_px": 61901.04, "pnl_gross": -127.0596, "pnl_net": -136.0326, "fee": 8.972961, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": -1.267, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-07-14 12:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.157933, "entry_px": 62697.64, "exit_px": 64662.27, "pnl_gross": 301.229, "pnl_net": 292.1775, "fee": 9.05145, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": 3.042, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-07-23 16:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.15684, "entry_px": 65053.99, "exit_px": 64769.17, "pnl_gross": -53.8344, "pnl_net": -62.9971, "fee": 9.162659, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": -0.528, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-08-03 12:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.157162, "entry_px": 64578.51, "exit_px": 63597.34, "pnl_gross": -163.2683, "pnl_net": -172.3333, "fee": 9.064968, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": -1.609, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-08-08 00:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.155495, "entry_px": 64221.16, "exit_px": 64933.0, "pnl_gross": 101.6513, "pnl_net": 92.614, "fee": 9.037272, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": 1.018, "duration": ""}], "params": {"obi_lookback": 20, "obi_entry": 0.35, "obi_exit": 0.1, "type": "Reversal"}, "fee_info": {"entry_fee": 0.045, "exit_fee": 0.045, "total_fee": 0.09, "taker_rate_pct": 0.045, "maker_rate_pct": 0.015, "effective_rate_pct": 0.045, "vip_tier": 0, "staking_tier": "none", "fee_model": "taker", "tier_name": "Tier 0 (<$5M)", "staking_name": "No Stake"}, "equity_curve": [{"t": "2026-06-10T12:00:00+00:00", "v": 10000.0}, {"t": "2026-06-10T16:00:00+00:00", "v": 10000.0}, {"t": 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