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ftdt-quant-lab/backtests/results/momentum_BTC_1d_365_20260810-083348.json
T
ramseshk ad4036713e feat: recent-window backtests (week/month/year) — 207 clean results 
Archived 639 old full-history results. Re-ran sweep on time-windowed
bar limits matching practical trading horizons:

  Last week bars:  1h=168, 4h=42,  1d=7
  Last month bars: 1h=720, 4h=180, 1d=30
  Last year bars:  1h=5000, 4h=2190, 1d=365

270/270 sweep succeeded, 63 zero-trade files archived.
207 results with real trades remain.

Key findings on RECENT (year) data only:

  grid_mm:    S=13.8 (1h), S=9.3 (4h), S=8.1 (1d)
  as_mm:      S=14.8 (1h), S=8.0 (4h), S=3.3 (1d)
  composite:  S=3.2 (1h), S=2.3 (4h), S=0.7 (1d)
  mean_rev:   1d only viable (S=3.5)

  Directional strategies (momentum, obi, iceberg, hurst_vpin)
  all show near-zero or negative Sharpe on recent data.

  Market-making dominates in sideways crypto markets.

Added --window flag to sweep_runner for week/month/year presets
2026-08-10 16:35:25 +08:00

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{"strategy": "momentum", "interval": "1d", "n_bars": 366, "start_equity": 10000.0, "end_equity": 5579.96, "total_return_pct": -44.2, "pnl": -4420.04, "sharpe": -1.482, "sortino": -1.943, "max_drawdown_pct": 51.87, "win_rate": 0.273, "profit_factor": 0.166, "expectancy": -401.822, "trades": [{"time": "2025-09-22 00:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.086065, "entry_px": 116139.02, "exit_px": 112525.36, "pnl_gross": -319.8656, "pnl_net": -328.7216, "fee": 8.856, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": -3.2, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2025-09-30 00:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.088711, "entry_px": 109070.96, "exit_px": 113921.96, "pnl_gross": 421.4348, "pnl_net": 412.5329, "fee": 8.901866, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": 4.356, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2025-10-10 00:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.083698, "entry_px": 120636.52, "exit_px": 112648.24, "pnl_gross": -677.3886, "pnl_net": -686.1751, "fee": 8.786461, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": -6.709, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2025-12-05 00:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.092751, "entry_px": 101561.46, "exit_px": 89204.71, "pnl_gross": -1154.0653, "pnl_net": -1162.0275, "fee": 7.962189, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": -12.251, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2025-12-31 00:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.09555, "entry_px": 86513.43, "exit_px": 87544.37, "pnl_gross": 91.0228, "pnl_net": 83.5387, "fee": 7.48405, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": 1.101, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-01-20 00:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.092837, "entry_px": 90021.93, "exit_px": 88315.6, "pnl_gross": -165.8617, "pnl_net": -173.312, "fee": 7.450345, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": -1.985, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-03-07 00:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.103945, "entry_px": 78806.73, "exit_px": 67162.77, "pnl_gross": -1217.1627, "pnl_net": -1223.9904, "fee": 6.82776, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": -14.859, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-03-21 00:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.093088, "entry_px": 74928.85, "exit_px": 68805.13, "pnl_gross": -576.0664, "pnl_net": -582.0873, "fee": 6.020959, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": -8.259, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-05-15 00:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.079058, "entry_px": 80942.86, "exit_px": 78983.94, "pnl_gross": -160.5579, "pnl_net": -166.2475, "fee": 5.689572, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": -2.509, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-06-21 00:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.082549, "entry_px": 75575.5, "exit_px": 63206.73, "pnl_gross": -1026.1849, "pnl_net": -1031.3403, "fee": 5.15535, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": -16.449, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-07-24 00:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.087146, "entry_px": 59818.76, "exit_px": 64058.88, "pnl_gross": 364.6509, "pnl_net": 359.7929, "fee": 4.857948, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": 6.995, "duration": ""}], "params": {"bollinger_window": 20, "bollinger_std": 2.0, "type": "Momentum"}, "fee_info": {"entry_fee": 0.045, "exit_fee": 0.045, "total_fee": 0.09, "taker_rate_pct": 0.045, "maker_rate_pct": 0.015, "effective_rate_pct": 0.045, "vip_tier": 0, "staking_tier": "none", "fee_model": "taker", "tier_name": "Tier 0 (<$5M)", "staking_name": "No Stake"}, "equity_curve": [{"t": "2025-08-10T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 10000.0}, {"t": "2025-08-11T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 10000.0}, {"t": "2025-08-12T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 10000.0}, {"t": "2025-08-13T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 10000.0}, {"t": "2025-08-14T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 10000.0}, {"t": "2025-08-15T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 10000.0}, {"t": "2025-08-16T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 10000.0}, {"t": "2025-08-17T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 10000.0}, {"t": "2025-08-18T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 10000.0}, {"t": "2025-08-19T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 10000.0}, {"t": "2025-08-20T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 10000.0}, {"t": "2025-08-21T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 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