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ftdt-quant-lab/backtests/results/grid_mm_BTC_1d_365_20260810-083058.json
T
ramseshk ad4036713e feat: recent-window backtests (week/month/year) — 207 clean results 
Archived 639 old full-history results. Re-ran sweep on time-windowed
bar limits matching practical trading horizons:

  Last week bars:  1h=168, 4h=42,  1d=7
  Last month bars: 1h=720, 4h=180, 1d=30
  Last year bars:  1h=5000, 4h=2190, 1d=365

270/270 sweep succeeded, 63 zero-trade files archived.
207 results with real trades remain.

Key findings on RECENT (year) data only:

  grid_mm:    S=13.8 (1h), S=9.3 (4h), S=8.1 (1d)
  as_mm:      S=14.8 (1h), S=8.0 (4h), S=3.3 (1d)
  composite:  S=3.2 (1h), S=2.3 (4h), S=0.7 (1d)
  mean_rev:   1d only viable (S=3.5)

  Directional strategies (momentum, obi, iceberg, hurst_vpin)
  all show near-zero or negative Sharpe on recent data.

  Market-making dominates in sideways crypto markets.

Added --window flag to sweep_runner for week/month/year presets
2026-08-10 16:35:25 +08:00

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{"strategy": "grid_mm", "interval": "1d", "n_bars": 366, "start_equity": 10000.0, "end_equity": 5490.16, "total_return_pct": -45.1, "pnl": -4509.84, "sharpe": -1.178, "sortino": -1.562, "max_drawdown_pct": 53.01, "win_rate": NaN, "profit_factor": NaN, "expectancy": NaN, "trades": [{"time": "2026-08-10 00:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.084108, "entry_px": 118876.76, "exit_px": 65275.0, "pnl_gross": -4509.8427, "pnl_net": -4512.166, "fee": 2.323295, "fee_rate_pct": 0.015, "return_pct": -45.105, "duration": ""}], "params": {"grid_levels": 10, "grid_spacing_pct": 0.1, "rebalance_every": 20, "type": "Market Making"}, "fee_info": {"entry_fee": 0.015, "exit_fee": 0.015, "total_fee": 0.03, "taker_rate_pct": 0.045, "maker_rate_pct": 0.015, "effective_rate_pct": 0.015, "vip_tier": 0, "staking_tier": "none", "fee_model": "maker", "tier_name": "Tier 0 (<$5M)", "staking_name": "No Stake"}, "equity_curve": [{"t": "2025-08-10T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 10000.0}, {"t": "2025-08-11T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 9988.51}, {"t": "2025-08-12T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 10111.23}, {"t": "2025-08-13T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 10381.97}, {"t": "2025-08-14T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 9952.09}, {"t": "2025-08-15T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 9869.84}, {"t": "2025-08-16T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 9870.68}, {"t": "2025-08-17T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 9872.61}, {"t": "2025-08-18T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 9770.34}, {"t": "2025-08-19T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 9489.75}, {"t": "2025-08-20T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 9609.27}, {"t": "2025-08-21T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 9457.71}, {"t": "2025-08-22T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 9837.54}, {"t": "2025-08-23T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 9714.07}, {"t": "2025-08-24T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 9552.58}, {"t": "2025-08-25T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 9264.0}, {"t": "2025-08-26T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 9404.72}, {"t": "2025-08-27T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 9358.96}, {"t": "2025-08-28T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 9470.99}, {"t": "2025-08-29T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 9111.43}, {"t": "2025-08-30T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 9150.88}, {"t": 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