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ftdt-quant-lab/backtests/results/grid_mm_BTC_4h_365_20260810-083042.json
T
ramseshk ad4036713e feat: recent-window backtests (week/month/year) — 207 clean results 
Archived 639 old full-history results. Re-ran sweep on time-windowed
bar limits matching practical trading horizons:

  Last week bars:  1h=168, 4h=42,  1d=7
  Last month bars: 1h=720, 4h=180, 1d=30
  Last year bars:  1h=5000, 4h=2190, 1d=365

270/270 sweep succeeded, 63 zero-trade files archived.
207 results with real trades remain.

Key findings on RECENT (year) data only:

  grid_mm:    S=13.8 (1h), S=9.3 (4h), S=8.1 (1d)
  as_mm:      S=14.8 (1h), S=8.0 (4h), S=3.3 (1d)
  composite:  S=3.2 (1h), S=2.3 (4h), S=0.7 (1d)
  mean_rev:   1d only viable (S=3.5)

  Directional strategies (momentum, obi, iceberg, hurst_vpin)
  all show near-zero or negative Sharpe on recent data.

  Market-making dominates in sideways crypto markets.

Added --window flag to sweep_runner for week/month/year presets
2026-08-10 16:35:25 +08:00

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{"strategy": "grid_mm", "interval": "4h", "n_bars": 366, "start_equity": 10000.0, "end_equity": 10485.94, "total_return_pct": 4.86, "pnl": 485.94, "sharpe": 0.984, "sortino": 1.406, "max_drawdown_pct": 13.24, "win_rate": 1.0, "profit_factor": Infinity, "expectancy": 440.1, "trades": [{"time": "2026-08-09 04:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.161311, "entry_px": 61982.92, "exit_px": 64730.21, "pnl_gross": 440.0999, "pnl_net": 437.0339, "fee": 3.066033, "fee_rate_pct": 0.015, "return_pct": 4.402, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-08-10 08:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.160645, "entry_px": 64978.91, "exit_px": 65274.0, "pnl_gross": 45.8383, "pnl_net": 42.6996, "fee": 3.138672, "fee_rate_pct": 0.015, "return_pct": 0.439, "duration": ""}], "params": {"grid_levels": 10, "grid_spacing_pct": 0.1, "rebalance_every": 20, "type": "Market Making"}, "fee_info": {"entry_fee": 0.015, "exit_fee": 0.015, "total_fee": 0.03, "taker_rate_pct": 0.045, "maker_rate_pct": 0.015, "effective_rate_pct": 0.015, "vip_tier": 0, "staking_tier": "none", "fee_model": "maker", "tier_name": "Tier 0 (<$5M)", "staking_name": "No Stake"}, "equity_curve": [{"t": "2026-06-10T12:00:00+00:00", "v": 10000.0}, {"t": "2026-06-10T16:00:00+00:00", "v": 9988.51}, {"t": "2026-06-10T20:00:00+00:00", "v": 9917.54}, {"t": "2026-06-11T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 10107.56}, {"t": "2026-06-11T04:00:00+00:00", "v": 10112.4}, {"t": "2026-06-11T08:00:00+00:00", "v": 10174.18}, {"t": "2026-06-11T12:00:00+00:00", "v": 10116.91}, {"t": "2026-06-11T16:00:00+00:00", "v": 10256.29}, {"t": "2026-06-11T20:00:00+00:00", "v": 10262.74}, {"t": "2026-06-12T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 10242.58}, {"t": "2026-06-12T04:00:00+00:00", "v": 10172.57}, {"t": "2026-06-12T08:00:00+00:00", "v": 10279.35}, {"t": "2026-06-12T12:00:00+00:00", "v": 10255.32}, {"t": "2026-06-12T16:00:00+00:00", "v": 10254.03}, {"t": "2026-06-12T20:00:00+00:00", "v": 10253.06}, {"t": "2026-06-13T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 10244.83}, {"t": 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