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ftdt-quant-lab/backtests/results/composite_mm_BTC_1d_42_20260810-083201.json
T
ramseshk ad4036713e feat: recent-window backtests (week/month/year) — 207 clean results
Archived 639 old full-history results. Re-ran sweep on time-windowed
bar limits matching practical trading horizons:

  Last week bars:  1h=168, 4h=42,  1d=7
  Last month bars: 1h=720, 4h=180, 1d=30
  Last year bars:  1h=5000, 4h=2190, 1d=365

270/270 sweep succeeded, 63 zero-trade files archived.
207 results with real trades remain.

Key findings on RECENT (year) data only:

  grid_mm:    S=13.8 (1h), S=9.3 (4h), S=8.1 (1d)
  as_mm:      S=14.8 (1h), S=8.0 (4h), S=3.3 (1d)
  composite:  S=3.2 (1h), S=2.3 (4h), S=0.7 (1d)
  mean_rev:   1d only viable (S=3.5)

  Directional strategies (momentum, obi, iceberg, hurst_vpin)
  all show near-zero or negative Sharpe on recent data.

  Market-making dominates in sideways crypto markets.

Added --window flag to sweep_runner for week/month/year presets
2026-08-10 16:35:25 +08:00

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{"strategy": "composite_mm", "interval": "1d", "n_bars": 43, "start_equity": 10000.0, "end_equity": 9918.71, "total_return_pct": -0.81, "pnl": -81.29, "sharpe": -4.291, "sortino": -4.234, "max_drawdown_pct": 0.81, "win_rate": 0.0, "profit_factor": 0.0, "expectancy": -81.291, "trades": [{"time": "2026-07-12 00:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.155693, "entry_px": 64219.15, "exit_px": 63716.22, "pnl_gross": -81.2915, "pnl_net": -84.2793, "fee": 2.987796, "fee_rate_pct": 0.015, "return_pct": -0.813, "duration": ""}], "params": {"obi_weight": 0.3, "as_weight": 0.4, "hurst_weight": 0.3, "entry_score": 0.5, "type": "Ensemble"}, "fee_info": {"entry_fee": 0.015, "exit_fee": 0.015, "total_fee": 0.03, "taker_rate_pct": 0.045, "maker_rate_pct": 0.015, "effective_rate_pct": 0.015, "vip_tier": 0, "staking_tier": "none", "fee_model": "maker", "tier_name": "Tier 0 (<$5M)", "staking_name": "No Stake"}, "equity_curve": [{"t": "2026-06-29T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 10000.0}, {"t": "2026-06-30T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 10000.0}, {"t": "2026-07-01T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 10000.0}, {"t": "2026-07-02T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 10000.0}, {"t": "2026-07-03T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 10000.0}, {"t": "2026-07-04T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 10000.0}, {"t": "2026-07-05T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 10000.0}, {"t": "2026-07-06T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 10000.0}, {"t": "2026-07-07T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 10000.0}, {"t": "2026-07-08T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 10000.0}, {"t": "2026-07-09T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 10000.0}, {"t": "2026-07-10T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 9988.51}, {"t": "2026-07-11T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 9936.82}, {"t": "2026-07-12T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 9918.71}, {"t": "2026-07-13T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 9918.71}, {"t": "2026-07-14T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 9918.71}, {"t": "2026-07-15T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 9918.71}, {"t": "2026-07-16T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 9918.71}, {"t": "2026-07-17T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 9918.71}, {"t": "2026-07-18T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 9918.71}, {"t": "2026-07-19T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 9918.71}, {"t": "2026-07-20T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 9918.71}, {"t": "2026-07-21T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 9918.71}, {"t": "2026-07-22T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 9918.71}, {"t": "2026-07-23T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 9918.71}, {"t": "2026-07-24T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 9918.71}, {"t": "2026-07-25T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 9918.71}, {"t": "2026-07-26T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 9918.71}, {"t": "2026-07-27T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 9918.71}, {"t": "2026-07-28T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 9918.71}, {"t": "2026-07-29T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 9918.71}, {"t": "2026-07-30T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 9918.71}, {"t": "2026-07-31T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 9918.71}, {"t": "2026-08-01T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 9918.71}, {"t": "2026-08-02T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 9918.71}, {"t": "2026-08-03T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 9918.71}, {"t": "2026-08-04T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 9918.71}, {"t": "2026-08-05T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 9918.71}, {"t": "2026-08-06T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 9918.71}, {"t": "2026-08-07T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 9918.71}, {"t": "2026-08-08T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 9918.71}, {"t": "2026-08-09T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 9918.71}, {"t": "2026-08-10T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 9918.71}], "total_trades": 1, "generated_at": "2026-08-10T08:32:01.455548+00:00", "asset": "BTC"}