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ftdt-quant-lab/backtests/results/as_mm_BTC_1d_365_20260810-082925.json
T
ramseshk ad4036713e feat: recent-window backtests (week/month/year) — 207 clean results 
Archived 639 old full-history results. Re-ran sweep on time-windowed
bar limits matching practical trading horizons:

  Last week bars:  1h=168, 4h=42,  1d=7
  Last month bars: 1h=720, 4h=180, 1d=30
  Last year bars:  1h=5000, 4h=2190, 1d=365

270/270 sweep succeeded, 63 zero-trade files archived.
207 results with real trades remain.

Key findings on RECENT (year) data only:

  grid_mm:    S=13.8 (1h), S=9.3 (4h), S=8.1 (1d)
  as_mm:      S=14.8 (1h), S=8.0 (4h), S=3.3 (1d)
  composite:  S=3.2 (1h), S=2.3 (4h), S=0.7 (1d)
  mean_rev:   1d only viable (S=3.5)

  Directional strategies (momentum, obi, iceberg, hurst_vpin)
  all show near-zero or negative Sharpe on recent data.

  Market-making dominates in sideways crypto markets.

Added --window flag to sweep_runner for week/month/year presets
2026-08-10 16:35:25 +08:00

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{"strategy": "as_mm", "interval": "1d", "n_bars": 366, "start_equity": 10000.0, "end_equity": 8917.87, "total_return_pct": -10.82, "pnl": -1082.13, "sharpe": -0.377, "sortino": -0.601, "max_drawdown_pct": 18.79, "win_rate": 0.584, "profit_factor": 0.86, "expectancy": -14.054, "trades": [{"time": "2025-09-02 00:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.091451, "entry_px": 109331.22, "exit_px": 111113.77, "pnl_gross": 159.9931, "pnl_net": 156.9691, "fee": 3.023987, "fee_rate_pct": 0.015, "return_pct": 1.6, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2025-09-07 00:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.091719, "entry_px": 110756.65, "exit_px": 110990.9, "pnl_gross": 18.4346, "pnl_net": 15.3838, "fee": 3.05077, "fee_rate_pct": 0.015, "return_pct": 0.181, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2025-09-11 00:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.089218, "entry_px": 114067.95, "exit_px": 115373.51, "pnl_gross": 113.4085, "pnl_net": 110.3379, "fee": 3.070546, "fee_rate_pct": 0.015, "return_pct": 1.114, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2025-09-16 00:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.089177, "entry_px": 115391.28, "exit_px": 116644.24, "pnl_gross": 108.6321, "pnl_net": 105.5283, "fee": 3.103835, "fee_rate_pct": 0.015, "return_pct": 1.056, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2025-09-22 00:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.089809, "entry_px": 115789.67, "exit_px": 112525.36, "pnl_gross": -296.239, "pnl_net": -299.3147, "fee": 3.075712, "fee_rate_pct": 0.015, "return_pct": -2.849, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2025-09-26 00:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.092625, "entry_px": 109070.96, "exit_px": 109504.39, "pnl_gross": 37.1091, "pnl_net": 34.0723, "fee": 3.036831, "fee_rate_pct": 0.015, "return_pct": 0.367, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2025-10-01 00:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.088644, "entry_px": 114388.27, "exit_px": 118453.43, "pnl_gross": 357.2549, "pnl_net": 354.1589, "fee": 3.096003, "fee_rate_pct": 0.015, "return_pct": 3.523, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2025-10-05 00:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.085636, "entry_px": 122577.45, "exit_px": 123446.43, "pnl_gross": 71.2551, "pnl_net": 68.0948, "fee": 3.160275, "fee_rate_pct": 0.015, "return_pct": 0.679, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2025-10-09 00:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.085567, "entry_px": 123508.38, "exit_px": 121493.38, "pnl_gross": -175.5625, "pnl_net": -178.7071, "fee": 3.14461, "fee_rate_pct": 0.015, "return_pct": -1.661, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2025-10-14 00:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.090328, "entry_px": 115054.94, "exit_px": 112906.98, "pnl_gross": -197.1105, "pnl_net": -200.1992, "fee": 3.088702, "fee_rate_pct": 0.015, "return_pct": -1.897, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2025-10-18 00:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.095732, "entry_px": 106502.4, "exit_px": 107035.86, "pnl_gross": 48.0027, "pnl_net": 44.9364, "fee": 3.066367, "fee_rate_pct": 0.015, "return_pct": 0.471, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2025-10-23 00:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.094539, "entry_px": 108353.24, "exit_px": 109952.94, "pnl_gross": 148.138, "pnl_net": 145.0422, "fee": 3.095767, "fee_rate_pct": 0.015, "return_pct": 1.446, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2025-10-28 00:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.090587, "entry_px": 114715.6, "exit_px": 112751.14, "pnl_gross": -181.0461, "pnl_net": -184.1369, "fee": 3.090829, "fee_rate_pct": 0.015, "return_pct": -1.742, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2025-11-01 00:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.093082, "entry_px": 109696.59, "exit_px": 110009.88, "pnl_gross": 26.0942, "pnl_net": 23.0266, "fee": 3.067608, "fee_rate_pct": 0.015, "return_pct": 0.256, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2025-11-05 00:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.100794, "entry_px": 101561.46, "exit_px": 103821.07, "pnl_gross": 224.6514, "pnl_net": 221.5462, "fee": 3.105199, "fee_rate_pct": 0.015, 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