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ftdt-quant-lab/backtests/results/historical/momentum_BTC_20260804-072903.json
T
ramseshk 1bf54b4c00 Add real historical backtesting with Hyperliquid mainnet candle data 
backtests/historical_runner.py: Fetches real 1h candles from Hyperliquid
mainnet API (candleSnapshot endpoint). Runs all 7 strategies against
actual BTC price history (721 candles, 30 days, $63,024→$63,605).
Each strategy's signal logic operates on real OHLCV data with
configurable fee tiers. Saves to backtests/results/historical/.

Results on 30d BTC data at VIP0:
  Mean Reversion: +93.87% net (Sharpe 0.94)
  Order Book Imbalance: +54.31% net (Sharpe 1.03)
  Avellaneda-Stoikov: -1.02% net (Sharpe -0.13)
  Iceberg Detection: -33.20% net
  Momentum Breakout: -54.72% net

Server: Added /api/backtests/historical (list) and
/api/backtest/historical/{name} (full data) endpoints.

Dashboard: Added "Historical" tab with "Real Data" badge. Cards show
coin + mainnet source. Click opens the same detail panel with fee
tier dropdown and equity chart.
2026-08-04 07:29:51 +00:00

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"strategy": "Momentum Breakout",
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"end_time": "2026-08-04T07:00:00",
"start_equity": 100.0,
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"pnl": -54.7229,
"pnl_pct": -54.72,
"pnl_gross": -45.968,
"pnl_gross_pct": -45.97,
"fees_total": 8.7549,
"fee_tier": 0,
"staking_tier": "none",
"fee_model": "taker",
"sharpe": -0.7794,
"sortino": -0.8926,
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{
"t": "2026-08-03T13:00:00",
"v": 45.8131
},
{
"t": "2026-08-03T14:00:00",
"v": 44.6131
},
{
"t": "2026-08-03T15:00:00",
"v": 45.1711
},
{
"t": "2026-08-03T16:00:00",
"v": 45.0031
},
{
"t": "2026-08-03T17:00:00",
"v": 44.7451
},
{
"t": "2026-08-03T18:00:00",
"v": 44.8151
},
{
"t": "2026-08-03T19:00:00",
"v": 44.8291
},
{
"t": "2026-08-03T20:00:00",
"v": 44.9711
},
{
"t": "2026-08-03T21:00:00",
"v": 45.3731
},
{
"t": "2026-08-03T22:00:00",
"v": 45.3351
},
{
"t": "2026-08-03T23:00:00",
"v": 45.5091
},
{
"t": "2026-08-04T00:00:00",
"v": 45.8151
},
{
"t": "2026-08-04T01:00:00",
"v": 44.8471
},
{
"t": "2026-08-04T02:00:00",
"v": 44.8951
},
{
"t": "2026-08-04T03:00:00",
"v": 44.9391
},
{
"t": "2026-08-04T04:00:00",
"v": 44.4791
},
{
"t": "2026-08-04T05:00:00",
"v": 44.9391
},
{
"t": "2026-08-04T06:00:00",
"v": 45.1991
},
{
"t": "2026-08-04T07:00:00",
"v": 45.2771
}
],
"trades": [
{
"time": "2026-07-09 05:00",
"side": "BUY (close short)",
"size": 0.006,
"price": 62591.0,
"pnl_gross": -4.442,
"pnl_net": -4.5547,
"fee": 0.112664,
"reason": "Bollinger: 62591 > 62552 (2\u03c3 breakout)"
},
{
"time": "2026-07-11 23:00",
"side": "SELL (close long)",
"size": 0.012,
"price": 63823.0,
"pnl_gross": 5.446,
"pnl_net": 5.3311,
"fee": 0.114881,
"reason": "Bollinger: 63823 < 63978 (2\u03c3 breakdown)"
},
{
"time": "2026-07-14 12:00",
"side": "BUY (close short)",
"size": 0.014,
"price": 63927.0,
"pnl_gross": -7.636,
"pnl_net": -7.7511,
"fee": 0.115069,
"reason": "Bollinger: 63927 > 63372 (2\u03c3 breakout)"
},
{
"time": "2026-07-16 07:00",
"side": "SELL (close long)",
"size": 0.014,
"price": 64222.0,
"pnl_gross": -6.324,
"pnl_net": -6.4396,
"fee": 0.1156,
"reason": "Bollinger: 64222 < 64309 (2\u03c3 breakdown)"
},
{
"time": "2026-07-17 18:00",
"side": "BUY (close short)",
"size": 0.01,
"price": 64250.0,
"pnl_gross": -6.1,
"pnl_net": -6.2157,
"fee": 0.11565,
"reason": "Bollinger: 64250 > 64170 (2\u03c3 breakout)"
},
{
"time": "2026-07-20 05:00",
"side": "SELL (close long)",
"size": 0.016,
"price": 64099.0,
"pnl_gross": -7.21,
"pnl_net": -7.3254,
"fee": 0.115378,
"reason": "Bollinger: 64099 < 64230 (2\u03c3 breakdown)"
},
{
"time": "2026-07-20 15:00",
"side": "BUY (close short)",
"size": 0.004,
"price": 65565.0,
"pnl_gross": -6.296,
"pnl_net": -6.414,
"fee": 0.118017,
"reason": "Bollinger: 65565 > 65248 (2\u03c3 breakout)"
},
{
"time": "2026-07-22 05:00",
"side": "SELL (close long)",
"size": 0.004,
"price": 65955.0,
"pnl_gross": 1.742,
"pnl_net": 1.6233,
"fee": 0.118719,
"reason": "Bollinger: 65955 < 65990 (2\u03c3 breakdown)"
},
{
"time": "2026-07-25 18:00",
"side": "BUY (close short)",
"size": 0.022000000000000006,
"price": 64398.0,
"pnl_gross": 11.034,
"pnl_net": 10.9181,
"fee": 0.115916,
"reason": "Bollinger: 64398 > 64321 (2\u03c3 breakout)"
},
{
"time": "2026-07-27 15:00",
"side": "SELL (close long)",
"size": 0.01,
"price": 64514.0,
"pnl_gross": -3.982,
"pnl_net": -4.0981,
"fee": 0.116125,
"reason": "Bollinger: 64514 < 64602 (2\u03c3 breakdown)"
},
{
"time": "2026-07-29 06:00",
"side": "BUY (close short)",
"size": 0.01,
"price": 64402.0,
"pnl_gross": -6.68,
"pnl_net": -6.7959,
"fee": 0.115924,
"reason": "Bollinger: 64402 > 64338 (2\u03c3 breakout)"
},
{
"time": "2026-07-31 07:00",
"side": "SELL (close long)",
"size": 0.006,
"price": 63918.0,
"pnl_gross": -3.674,
"pnl_net": -3.7891,
"fee": 0.115052,
"reason": "Bollinger: 63918 < 64054 (2\u03c3 breakdown)"
},
{
"time": "2026-08-02 02:00",
"side": "BUY (close short)",
"size": 0.018000000000000002,
"price": 63431.0,
"pnl_gross": -6.198,
"pnl_net": -6.3122,
"fee": 0.114176,
"reason": "Bollinger: 63431 > 63343 (2\u03c3 breakout)"
},
{
"time": "2026-08-03 06:00",
"side": "SELL (close long)",
"size": 0.004,
"price": 62594.0,
"pnl_gross": -3.62,
"pnl_net": -3.7327,
"fee": 0.112669,
"reason": "Bollinger: 62594 < 62638 (2\u03c3 breakdown)"
}
],
"num_periods": 721,
"data_source": "Hyperliquid Mainnet",
"generated_at": "2026-08-04T07:29:03.675601"
}
Reference in New Issue View Git Blame Copy Permalink