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ftdt-quant-lab/backtests/results/mean_rev_BTC_4h_720_20260810-083409.json
T
ramseshk ad4036713e feat: recent-window backtests (week/month/year) — 207 clean results 
Archived 639 old full-history results. Re-ran sweep on time-windowed
bar limits matching practical trading horizons:

  Last week bars:  1h=168, 4h=42,  1d=7
  Last month bars: 1h=720, 4h=180, 1d=30
  Last year bars:  1h=5000, 4h=2190, 1d=365

270/270 sweep succeeded, 63 zero-trade files archived.
207 results with real trades remain.

Key findings on RECENT (year) data only:

  grid_mm:    S=13.8 (1h), S=9.3 (4h), S=8.1 (1d)
  as_mm:      S=14.8 (1h), S=8.0 (4h), S=3.3 (1d)
  composite:  S=3.2 (1h), S=2.3 (4h), S=0.7 (1d)
  mean_rev:   1d only viable (S=3.5)

  Directional strategies (momentum, obi, iceberg, hurst_vpin)
  all show near-zero or negative Sharpe on recent data.

  Market-making dominates in sideways crypto markets.

Added --window flag to sweep_runner for week/month/year presets
2026-08-10 16:35:25 +08:00

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{"strategy": "mean_rev", "interval": "4h", "n_bars": 721, "start_equity": 10000.0, "end_equity": 8263.57, "total_return_pct": -17.36, "pnl": -1736.43, "sharpe": -1.674, "sortino": -2.301, "max_drawdown_pct": 31.34, "win_rate": 0.457, "profit_factor": 0.599, "expectancy": -37.722, "trades": [{"time": "2026-04-17 00:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.133265, "entry_px": 75004.93, "exit_px": 74503.42, "pnl_gross": -75.7991, "pnl_net": -84.765, "fee": 8.965904, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": -0.758, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-04-18 16:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.132057, "entry_px": 75117.04, "exit_px": 75532.39, "pnl_gross": 45.8975, "pnl_net": 36.945, "fee": 8.95244, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": 0.463, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-04-20 12:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.135008, "entry_px": 73814.74, "exit_px": 75592.33, "pnl_gross": 230.9128, "pnl_net": 221.8357, "fee": 9.077017, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": 2.317, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-04-24 04:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.13331, "entry_px": 76486.41, "exit_px": 77553.37, "pnl_gross": 132.9958, "pnl_net": 123.755, "fee": 9.240769, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": 1.304, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-04-27 08:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.133206, "entry_px": 77544.47, "exit_px": 77736.19, "pnl_gross": 16.2301, "pnl_net": 6.9222, "fee": 9.307942, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": 0.157, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-04-29 08:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.134635, "entry_px": 76841.76, "exit_px": 77470.45, "pnl_gross": 75.2941, "pnl_net": 65.945, "fee": 9.349121, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": 0.728, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-04-30 12:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.137219, "entry_px": 75942.87, "exit_px": 76347.58, "pnl_gross": 46.1302, "pnl_net": 36.7265, "fee": 9.403714, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": 0.443, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-05-07 00:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.135665, "entry_px": 77153.08, "exit_px": 80717.2, "pnl_gross": 473.8883, "pnl_net": 464.2505, "fee": 9.637862, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": 4.527, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-05-09 12:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.136847, "entry_px": 79947.87, "exit_px": 80399.52, "pnl_gross": 51.9328, "pnl_net": 42.0585, "fee": 9.874377, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": 0.475, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-05-11 04:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.13495, "entry_px": 81456.37, "exit_px": 80634.29, "pnl_gross": -120.7844, "pnl_net": -130.6277, "fee": 9.843361, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": -1.099, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-05-12 00:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.133419, "entry_px": 81486.4, "exit_px": 80943.98, "pnl_gross": -82.1223, "pnl_net": -91.8744, "fee": 9.752084, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": -0.755, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-05-13 04:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.134232, "entry_px": 80381.3, "exit_px": 80907.01, "pnl_gross": 60.8246, "pnl_net": 51.0821, "fee": 9.742524, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": 0.564, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-05-15 08:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.134723, "entry_px": 80539.46, "exit_px": 80510.41, "pnl_gross": -13.6774, "pnl_net": -23.4411, "fee": 9.763705, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": -0.126, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-05-20 04:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.136834, "entry_px": 79197.12, "exit_px": 77170.75, "pnl_gross": -286.9038, "pnl_net": -296.5322, "fee": 9.628399, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": -2.647, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-05-21 08:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.135738, "entry_px": 77723.65, "exit_px": 77069.85, "pnl_gross": -98.1998, "pnl_net": -107.655, "fee": 9.455112, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": -0.931, "duration": ""}, {"time": 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