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ftdt-quant-lab/backtests/results/grid_mm_BTC_1d_30_20260810-083055.json
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ramseshk ad4036713e feat: recent-window backtests (week/month/year) — 207 clean results
Archived 639 old full-history results. Re-ran sweep on time-windowed
bar limits matching practical trading horizons:

  Last week bars:  1h=168, 4h=42,  1d=7
  Last month bars: 1h=720, 4h=180, 1d=30
  Last year bars:  1h=5000, 4h=2190, 1d=365

270/270 sweep succeeded, 63 zero-trade files archived.
207 results with real trades remain.

Key findings on RECENT (year) data only:

  grid_mm:    S=13.8 (1h), S=9.3 (4h), S=8.1 (1d)
  as_mm:      S=14.8 (1h), S=8.0 (4h), S=3.3 (1d)
  composite:  S=3.2 (1h), S=2.3 (4h), S=0.7 (1d)
  mean_rev:   1d only viable (S=3.5)

  Directional strategies (momentum, obi, iceberg, hurst_vpin)
  all show near-zero or negative Sharpe on recent data.

  Market-making dominates in sideways crypto markets.

Added --window flag to sweep_runner for week/month/year presets
2026-08-10 16:35:25 +08:00

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{"strategy": "grid_mm", "interval": "1d", "n_bars": 31, "start_equity": 10000.0, "end_equity": 10222.49, "total_return_pct": 2.22, "pnl": 222.49, "sharpe": 1.085, "sortino": 1.64, "max_drawdown_pct": 5.62, "win_rate": NaN, "profit_factor": NaN, "expectancy": NaN, "trades": [{"time": "2026-08-10 00:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.156609, "entry_px": 63843.78, "exit_px": 65274.0, "pnl_gross": 222.4853, "pnl_net": 219.4522, "fee": 3.033151, "fee_rate_pct": 0.015, "return_pct": 2.225, "duration": ""}], "params": {"grid_levels": 10, "grid_spacing_pct": 0.1, "rebalance_every": 20, "type": "Market Making"}, "fee_info": {"entry_fee": 0.015, "exit_fee": 0.015, "total_fee": 0.03, "taker_rate_pct": 0.045, "maker_rate_pct": 0.015, "effective_rate_pct": 0.015, "vip_tier": 0, "staking_tier": "none", "fee_model": "maker", "tier_name": "Tier 0 (<$5M)", "staking_name": "No Stake"}, "equity_curve": [{"t": "2026-07-11T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 10000.0}, {"t": "2026-07-12T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 9988.51}, {"t": "2026-07-13T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 9761.59}, {"t": "2026-07-14T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 10179.57}, {"t": "2026-07-15T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 10138.54}, {"t": "2026-07-16T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 9993.99}, {"t": "2026-07-17T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 10011.69}, {"t": "2026-07-18T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 10152.48}, {"t": "2026-07-19T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 10135.41}, {"t": "2026-07-20T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 10214.97}, {"t": "2026-07-21T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 10418.72}, {"t": "2026-07-22T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 10349.65}, {"t": "2026-07-23T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 10190.38}, {"t": "2026-07-24T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 10042.23}, {"t": "2026-07-25T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 10079.5}, {"t": "2026-07-26T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 10236.89}, {"t": "2026-07-27T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 9981.62}, {"t": "2026-07-28T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 10008.24}, {"t": "2026-07-29T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 10017.01}, {"t": "2026-07-30T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 10141.05}, {"t": "2026-07-31T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 9843.81}, {"t": "2026-08-01T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 9833.47}, {"t": "2026-08-02T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 9953.43}, {"t": "2026-08-03T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 9943.41}, {"t": "2026-08-04T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 10033.62}, {"t": "2026-08-05T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 10120.85}, {"t": "2026-08-06T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 10068.85}, {"t": "2026-08-07T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 10161.56}, {"t": "2026-08-08T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 10169.08}, {"t": "2026-08-09T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 10158.9}, {"t": "2026-08-10T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 10222.49}], "total_trades": 1, "generated_at": "2026-08-10T08:30:55.102091+00:00", "asset": "BTC"}