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ftdt-quant-lab/backtests/results/obi_BTC_1d_365_20260810-083011.json
T
ramseshk ad4036713e feat: recent-window backtests (week/month/year) — 207 clean results 
Archived 639 old full-history results. Re-ran sweep on time-windowed
bar limits matching practical trading horizons:

  Last week bars:  1h=168, 4h=42,  1d=7
  Last month bars: 1h=720, 4h=180, 1d=30
  Last year bars:  1h=5000, 4h=2190, 1d=365

270/270 sweep succeeded, 63 zero-trade files archived.
207 results with real trades remain.

Key findings on RECENT (year) data only:

  grid_mm:    S=13.8 (1h), S=9.3 (4h), S=8.1 (1d)
  as_mm:      S=14.8 (1h), S=8.0 (4h), S=3.3 (1d)
  composite:  S=3.2 (1h), S=2.3 (4h), S=0.7 (1d)
  mean_rev:   1d only viable (S=3.5)

  Directional strategies (momentum, obi, iceberg, hurst_vpin)
  all show near-zero or negative Sharpe on recent data.

  Market-making dominates in sideways crypto markets.

Added --window flag to sweep_runner for week/month/year presets
2026-08-10 16:35:25 +08:00

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{"strategy": "obi", "interval": "1d", "n_bars": 366, "start_equity": 10000.0, "end_equity": 6309.8, "total_return_pct": -36.9, "pnl": -3690.2, "sharpe": -1.288, "sortino": -1.702, "max_drawdown_pct": 38.66, "win_rate": 0.2, "profit_factor": 0.024, "expectancy": -738.04, "trades": [{"time": "2025-12-10 00:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.087133, "entry_px": 114715.6, "exit_px": 91869.04, "pnl_gross": -1998.7872, "pnl_net": -2006.8873, "fee": 8.100153, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": -19.997, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-03-04 00:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.1055, "entry_px": 75806.73, "exit_px": 72560.37, "pnl_gross": -349.5353, "pnl_net": -356.579, "fee": 7.043728, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": -4.37, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-05-13 00:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.097785, "entry_px": 78215.14, "exit_px": 79203.72, "pnl_gross": 89.741, "pnl_net": 82.814, "fee": 6.926941, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": 1.173, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-07-02 00:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.10467, "entry_px": 73926.85, "exit_px": 61525.41, "pnl_gross": -1304.4409, "pnl_net": -1310.8209, "fee": 6.380005, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": -16.858, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-07-24 00:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.098544, "entry_px": 65291.23, "exit_px": 64058.88, "pnl_gross": -127.1771, "pnl_net": -132.9131, "fee": 5.736005, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": -1.977, "duration": ""}], "params": {"obi_lookback": 20, "obi_entry": 0.35, "obi_exit": 0.1, "type": "Reversal"}, "fee_info": {"entry_fee": 0.045, "exit_fee": 0.045, "total_fee": 0.09, "taker_rate_pct": 0.045, "maker_rate_pct": 0.015, "effective_rate_pct": 0.045, "vip_tier": 0, "staking_tier": "none", "fee_model": "taker", "tier_name": "Tier 0 (<$5M)", "staking_name": "No Stake"}, "equity_curve": [{"t": "2025-08-10T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 10000.0}, {"t": "2025-08-11T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 10000.0}, 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