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ftdt-quant-lab/backtests/results/pairs_BTC_4h_720_20260810-082621.json
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ramseshk ad4036713e feat: recent-window backtests (week/month/year) — 207 clean results 
Archived 639 old full-history results. Re-ran sweep on time-windowed
bar limits matching practical trading horizons:

  Last week bars:  1h=168, 4h=42,  1d=7
  Last month bars: 1h=720, 4h=180, 1d=30
  Last year bars:  1h=5000, 4h=2190, 1d=365

270/270 sweep succeeded, 63 zero-trade files archived.
207 results with real trades remain.

Key findings on RECENT (year) data only:

  grid_mm:    S=13.8 (1h), S=9.3 (4h), S=8.1 (1d)
  as_mm:      S=14.8 (1h), S=8.0 (4h), S=3.3 (1d)
  composite:  S=3.2 (1h), S=2.3 (4h), S=0.7 (1d)
  mean_rev:   1d only viable (S=3.5)

  Directional strategies (momentum, obi, iceberg, hurst_vpin)
  all show near-zero or negative Sharpe on recent data.

  Market-making dominates in sideways crypto markets.

Added --window flag to sweep_runner for week/month/year presets
2026-08-10 16:35:25 +08:00

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{"strategy": "pairs", "interval": "4h", "n_bars": 721, "start_equity": 10000.0, "end_equity": 8300.12, "total_return_pct": -17.0, "pnl": -1699.88, "sharpe": -2.936, "sortino": -3.883, "max_drawdown_pct": 21.75, "win_rate": 0.267, "profit_factor": 0.26, "expectancy": -113.325, "trades": [{"time": "2026-04-27 08:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.128003, "entry_px": 78088.01, "exit_px": 77736.19, "pnl_gross": -54.0102, "pnl_net": -62.9859, "fee": 8.975684, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": -0.54, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-05-04 16:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.12613, "entry_px": 78819.74, "exit_px": 79918.0, "pnl_gross": 129.5137, "pnl_net": 120.504, "fee": 9.009716, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": 1.303, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-05-11 12:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.123627, "entry_px": 81462.38, "exit_px": 81323.6, "pnl_gross": -26.2139, "pnl_net": -35.27, "fee": 9.056134, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": -0.26, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-05-28 00:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.133263, "entry_px": 75375.3, "exit_px": 73160.77, "pnl_gross": -304.0238, "pnl_net": -312.9313, "fee": 8.907463, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": -3.027, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-06-03 00:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.135937, "entry_px": 71657.59, "exit_px": 65746.19, "pnl_gross": -811.98, "pnl_net": -820.3852, "fee": 8.405216, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": -8.336, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-06-10 00:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.141463, "entry_px": 63121.06, "exit_px": 61459.48, "pnl_gross": -242.9818, "pnl_net": -250.9124, "fee": 7.930592, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": -2.721, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-06-17 16:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.129016, "entry_px": 67328.26, "exit_px": 64222.71, "pnl_gross": -408.3016, "pnl_net": -415.939, "fee": 7.637481, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": -4.7, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-06-22 16:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.127959, "entry_px": 64694.63, "exit_px": 64417.52, "pnl_gross": -42.8935, "pnl_net": -50.328, "fee": 7.434478, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": -0.518, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-07-05 12:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.136202, "entry_px": 60464.4, "exit_px": 62672.26, "pnl_gross": 293.169, "pnl_net": 285.6218, "fee": 7.547157, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": 3.56, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-07-12 00:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.132761, "entry_px": 64239.18, "exit_px": 64153.78, "pnl_gross": -19.0073, "pnl_net": -26.6778, "fee": 7.67051, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": -0.223, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-07-16 16:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.132481, "entry_px": 64231.17, "exit_px": 64198.74, "pnl_gross": -11.9529, "pnl_net": -19.6095, "fee": 7.656535, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": -0.14, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-07-21 16:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.130622, "entry_px": 65053.99, "exit_px": 66350.58, "pnl_gross": 161.64, "pnl_net": 153.916, "fee": 7.723947, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": 1.902, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-07-23 16:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.131023, "entry_px": 66088.02, "exit_px": 64769.17, "pnl_gross": -180.5161, "pnl_net": -188.2315, "fee": 7.715386, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": -2.085, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-07-28 08:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.130839, "entry_px": 64801.74, "exit_px": 63377.56, "pnl_gross": -193.8856, "pnl_net": -201.4325, "fee": 7.546883, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": -2.287, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-08-07 12:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.128124, "entry_px": 64662.6, "exit_px": 64811.12, "pnl_gross": 11.5648, "pnl_net": 4.0999, "fee": 7.464911, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": 0.14, "duration": ""}], "params": {"z_entry": 1.5, "z_exit": 0.5, "lookback": 20, "type": "Stat Arb"}, "fee_info": {"entry_fee": 0.045, "exit_fee": 0.045, "total_fee": 0.09, "taker_rate_pct": 0.045, "maker_rate_pct": 0.015, "effective_rate_pct": 0.045, "vip_tier": 0, "staking_tier": "none", "fee_model": "taker", "tier_name": "Tier 0 (<$5M)", "staking_name": "No Stake"}, "equity_curve": [{"t": "2026-04-12T08:00:00+00:00", "v": 10000.0}, {"t": "2026-04-12T12:00:00+00:00", "v": 10000.0}, {"t": "2026-04-12T16:00:00+00:00", "v": 10000.0}, {"t": "2026-04-12T20:00:00+00:00", "v": 10000.0}, {"t": "2026-04-13T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 10000.0}, {"t": "2026-04-13T04:00:00+00:00", "v": 10000.0}, {"t": "2026-04-13T08:00:00+00:00", "v": 10000.0}, {"t": "2026-04-13T12:00:00+00:00", "v": 10000.0}, {"t": "2026-04-13T16:00:00+00:00", "v": 10000.0}, {"t": "2026-04-13T20:00:00+00:00", "v": 10000.0}, {"t": "2026-04-14T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 10000.0}, {"t": "2026-04-14T04:00:00+00:00", "v": 10000.0}, {"t": "2026-04-14T08:00:00+00:00", "v": 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