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ftdt-quant-lab/backtests/results/obi_BTC_1h_720_20260810-082931.json
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ramseshk ad4036713e feat: recent-window backtests (week/month/year) — 207 clean results 
Archived 639 old full-history results. Re-ran sweep on time-windowed
bar limits matching practical trading horizons:

  Last week bars:  1h=168, 4h=42,  1d=7
  Last month bars: 1h=720, 4h=180, 1d=30
  Last year bars:  1h=5000, 4h=2190, 1d=365

270/270 sweep succeeded, 63 zero-trade files archived.
207 results with real trades remain.

Key findings on RECENT (year) data only:

  grid_mm:    S=13.8 (1h), S=9.3 (4h), S=8.1 (1d)
  as_mm:      S=14.8 (1h), S=8.0 (4h), S=3.3 (1d)
  composite:  S=3.2 (1h), S=2.3 (4h), S=0.7 (1d)
  mean_rev:   1d only viable (S=3.5)

  Directional strategies (momentum, obi, iceberg, hurst_vpin)
  all show near-zero or negative Sharpe on recent data.

  Market-making dominates in sideways crypto markets.

Added --window flag to sweep_runner for week/month/year presets
2026-08-10 16:35:25 +08:00

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{"strategy": "obi", "interval": "1h", "n_bars": 721, "start_equity": 10000.0, "end_equity": 9220.05, "total_return_pct": -7.8, "pnl": -779.95, "sharpe": -6.951, "sortino": -8.881, "max_drawdown_pct": 8.43, "win_rate": 0.111, "profit_factor": 0.054, "expectancy": -43.33, "trades": [{"time": "2026-07-15 08:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.154271, "entry_px": 64791.73, "exit_px": 64699.24, "pnl_gross": -23.2582, "pnl_net": -32.2478, "fee": 8.989516, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": -0.233, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-07-16 14:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.155091, "entry_px": 64299.24, "exit_px": 64450.49, "pnl_gross": 14.472, "pnl_net": 5.4864, "fee": 8.985566, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": 0.145, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-07-18 13:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.15528, "entry_px": 64314.25, "exit_px": 64029.91, "pnl_gross": -53.1211, "pnl_net": -62.0893, "fee": 8.968177, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": -0.532, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-07-18 16:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.154811, "entry_px": 64166.1, "exit_px": 64212.72, "pnl_gross": -1.7261, "pnl_net": -10.6696, "fee": 8.943504, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": -0.017, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-07-19 16:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.153798, "entry_px": 64577.51, "exit_px": 64471.46, "pnl_gross": -25.2415, "pnl_net": -34.1729, "fee": 8.931363, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": -0.254, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-07-22 05:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.148142, "entry_px": 66872.81, "exit_px": 65889.04, "pnl_gross": -154.5867, "pnl_net": -163.4371, "fee": 8.850423, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": -1.56, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-07-23 10:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.147552, "entry_px": 66093.03, "exit_px": 65633.3, "pnl_gross": -76.5798, "pnl_net": -85.3263, "fee": 8.746418, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": -0.785, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-07-23 22:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.148358, "entry_px": 65218.15, "exit_px": 65092.84, "pnl_gross": -27.2905, "pnl_net": -35.9902, "fee": 8.699705, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": -0.282, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-07-25 10:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.150574, "entry_px": 64077.01, "exit_px": 63982.95, "pnl_gross": -22.8401, "pnl_net": -31.5172, "fee": 8.677125, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": -0.237, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-07-26 12:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.149081, "entry_px": 64565.5, "exit_px": 64373.56, "pnl_gross": -37.2645, "pnl_net": -45.9146, "fee": 8.650064, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": -0.387, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-07-28 19:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.150209, "entry_px": 63832.77, "exit_px": 63806.13, "pnl_gross": -12.629, "pnl_net": -21.2567, "fee": 8.62763, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": -0.132, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-07-29 16:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.14969, "entry_px": 63969.91, "exit_px": 63725.21, "pnl_gross": -45.2299, "pnl_net": -53.8315, "fee": 8.601607, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": -0.472, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-07-31 06:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.146719, "entry_px": 64956.89, "exit_px": 64138.8, "pnl_gross": -128.5535, "pnl_net": -137.0769, "fee": 8.523356, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": -1.349, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-08-01 10:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.147385, "entry_px": 63791.73, "exit_px": 62957.98, "pnl_gross": -131.2882, "pnl_net": -139.6947, "fee": 8.406453, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": -1.396, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-08-02 02:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.146911, "entry_px": 63104.04, "exit_px": 63367.57, "pnl_gross": 30.3542, "pnl_net": 21.9931, "fee": 8.361032, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": 0.327, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-08-03 02:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.147378, "entry_px": 63110.05, "exit_px": 63064.87, "pnl_gross": -15.0257, "pnl_net": -23.3937, "fee": 8.367933, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": -0.162, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-08-06 09:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.143168, "entry_px": 64860.8, "exit_px": 64589.35, "pnl_gross": -47.203, "pnl_net": -55.5429, "fee": 8.339904, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": -0.508, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-08-08 13:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.142079, "entry_px": 65025.96, "exit_px": 64923.01, "pnl_gross": -22.9353, "pnl_net": -31.2436, "fee": 8.308359, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": -0.248, "duration": ""}], "params": {"obi_lookback": 20, "obi_entry": 0.35, "obi_exit": 0.1, "type": "Reversal"}, "fee_info": {"entry_fee": 0.045, "exit_fee": 0.045, "total_fee": 0.09, "taker_rate_pct": 0.045, "maker_rate_pct": 0.015, "effective_rate_pct": 0.045, "vip_tier": 0, "staking_tier": "none", "fee_model": "taker", "tier_name": "Tier 0 (<$5M)", "staking_name": "No Stake"}, "equity_curve": [{"t": "2026-07-11T08:00:00+00:00", "v": 10000.0}, {"t": "2026-07-11T09:00:00+00:00", "v": 10000.0}, {"t": "2026-07-11T10:00:00+00:00", "v": 10000.0}, {"t": "2026-07-11T11:00:00+00:00", "v": 10000.0}, {"t": "2026-07-11T12:00:00+00:00", "v": 10000.0}, {"t": "2026-07-11T13:00:00+00:00", "v": 10000.0}, {"t": "2026-07-11T14:00:00+00:00", "v": 10000.0}, {"t": "2026-07-11T15:00:00+00:00", "v": 10000.0}, {"t": "2026-07-11T16:00:00+00:00", "v": 10000.0}, {"t": "2026-07-11T17:00:00+00:00", "v": 10000.0}, {"t": "2026-07-11T18:00:00+00:00", "v": 10000.0}, {"t": "2026-07-11T19:00:00+00:00", "v": 10000.0}, {"t": "2026-07-11T20:00:00+00:00", "v": 10000.0}, {"t": "2026-07-11T21:00:00+00:00", "v": 10000.0}, {"t": "2026-07-11T22:00:00+00:00", "v": 10000.0}, {"t": "2026-07-11T23:00:00+00:00", "v": 10000.0}, {"t": "2026-07-12T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 10000.0}, {"t": "2026-07-12T01:00:00+00:00", "v": 10000.0}, 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