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ftdt-quant-lab/backtests/results/mean_rev_BTC_1h_365_20260810-083403.json
T
ramseshk ad4036713e feat: recent-window backtests (week/month/year) — 207 clean results 
Archived 639 old full-history results. Re-ran sweep on time-windowed
bar limits matching practical trading horizons:

  Last week bars:  1h=168, 4h=42,  1d=7
  Last month bars: 1h=720, 4h=180, 1d=30
  Last year bars:  1h=5000, 4h=2190, 1d=365

270/270 sweep succeeded, 63 zero-trade files archived.
207 results with real trades remain.

Key findings on RECENT (year) data only:

  grid_mm:    S=13.8 (1h), S=9.3 (4h), S=8.1 (1d)
  as_mm:      S=14.8 (1h), S=8.0 (4h), S=3.3 (1d)
  composite:  S=3.2 (1h), S=2.3 (4h), S=0.7 (1d)
  mean_rev:   1d only viable (S=3.5)

  Directional strategies (momentum, obi, iceberg, hurst_vpin)
  all show near-zero or negative Sharpe on recent data.

  Market-making dominates in sideways crypto markets.

Added --window flag to sweep_runner for week/month/year presets
2026-08-10 16:35:25 +08:00

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{"strategy": "mean_rev", "interval": "1h", "n_bars": 366, "start_equity": 10000.0, "end_equity": 9078.8, "total_return_pct": -9.21, "pnl": -921.2, "sharpe": -9.262, "sortino": -11.942, "max_drawdown_pct": 9.34, "win_rate": 0.211, "profit_factor": 0.105, "expectancy": -47.857, "trades": [{"time": "2026-07-27 11:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.152737, "entry_px": 65442.38, "exit_px": 65008.93, "pnl_gross": -75.1704, "pnl_net": -84.1365, "fee": 8.966134, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": -0.752, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-07-29 01:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.153254, "entry_px": 64731.67, "exit_px": 63613.32, "pnl_gross": -180.2415, "pnl_net": -189.0927, "fee": 8.851222, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": -1.817, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-07-29 03:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.152162, "entry_px": 64011.95, "exit_px": 63657.28, "pnl_gross": -62.7091, "pnl_net": -71.451, "fee": 8.741882, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": -0.644, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-07-29 14:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.150961, "entry_px": 64106.04, "exit_px": 64014.92, "pnl_gross": -22.4593, "pnl_net": -31.1629, "fee": 8.703571, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": -0.232, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-07-30 01:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.151208, "entry_px": 63852.79, "exit_px": 64178.76, "pnl_gross": 40.5773, "pnl_net": 31.8656, "fee": 8.711728, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": 0.42, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-08-01 04:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.150077, "entry_px": 64604.54, "exit_px": 63009.93, "pnl_gross": -247.9326, "pnl_net": -256.551, "fee": 8.618399, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": -2.557, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-08-01 15:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.149583, "entry_px": 63161.1, "exit_px": 62919.02, "pnl_gross": -44.6977, "pnl_net": -53.1845, "fee": 8.486749, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": -0.473, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-08-02 11:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.14938, "entry_px": 62947.88, "exit_px": 62947.99, "pnl_gross": -8.4473, "pnl_net": -16.9101, "fee": 8.462846, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": -0.09, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-08-03 00:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.147837, "entry_px": 63547.48, "exit_px": 63232.7, "pnl_gross": -54.9705, "pnl_net": -63.4048, "fee": 8.434261, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": -0.585, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-08-04 00:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.148465, "entry_px": 62908.85, "exit_px": 63275.66, "pnl_gross": 46.0288, "pnl_net": 37.5985, "fee": 8.430292, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": 0.493, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-08-04 06:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.14649, "entry_px": 64071.01, "exit_px": 63583.35, "pnl_gross": -79.8514, "pnl_net": -88.2664, "fee": 8.415039, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": -0.851, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-08-05 00:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.14549, "entry_px": 63962.9, "exit_px": 63898.04, "pnl_gross": -17.8077, "pnl_net": -26.1788, "fee": 8.37112, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": -0.191, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-08-05 07:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.144297, "entry_px": 64368.3, "exit_px": 64073.86, "pnl_gross": -50.8272, "pnl_net": -59.1675, "fee": 8.340218, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": -0.547, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-08-06 03:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.143537, "entry_px": 64355.29, "exit_px": 64446.49, "pnl_gross": 4.7708, "pnl_net": -3.5488, "fee": 8.319519, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": 0.052, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-08-06 09:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.14234, "entry_px": 64929.86, "exit_px": 64589.35, "pnl_gross": -56.7655, "pnl_net": -65.0616, "fee": 8.296094, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": -0.614, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-08-07 18:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.142503, "entry_px": 64457.39, "exit_px": 64625.31, "pnl_gross": 15.6511, "pnl_net": 7.3735, "fee": 8.277602, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": 0.17, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-08-08 21:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.141189, "entry_px": 65168.1, "exit_px": 64922.01, "pnl_gross": -43.0104, "pnl_net": -51.2757, "fee": 8.265282, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": -0.467, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-08-09 10:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.140943, "entry_px": 64976.91, "exit_px": 64862.07, "pnl_gross": -24.4206, "pnl_net": -32.6556, "fee": 8.234953, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": -0.267, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-08-09 22:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.139965, "entry_px": 65256.19, "exit_px": 64978.96, "pnl_gross": -47.0061, "pnl_net": -55.2088, "fee": 8.202763, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": -0.515, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-08-10 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