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ftdt-quant-lab/backtests/results/mean_rev_BTC_1d_720_20260810-083424.json
T
ramseshk ad4036713e feat: recent-window backtests (week/month/year) — 207 clean results 
Archived 639 old full-history results. Re-ran sweep on time-windowed
bar limits matching practical trading horizons:

  Last week bars:  1h=168, 4h=42,  1d=7
  Last month bars: 1h=720, 4h=180, 1d=30
  Last year bars:  1h=5000, 4h=2190, 1d=365

270/270 sweep succeeded, 63 zero-trade files archived.
207 results with real trades remain.

Key findings on RECENT (year) data only:

  grid_mm:    S=13.8 (1h), S=9.3 (4h), S=8.1 (1d)
  as_mm:      S=14.8 (1h), S=8.0 (4h), S=3.3 (1d)
  composite:  S=3.2 (1h), S=2.3 (4h), S=0.7 (1d)
  mean_rev:   1d only viable (S=3.5)

  Directional strategies (momentum, obi, iceberg, hurst_vpin)
  all show near-zero or negative Sharpe on recent data.

  Market-making dominates in sideways crypto markets.

Added --window flag to sweep_runner for week/month/year presets
2026-08-10 16:35:25 +08:00

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{"strategy": "mean_rev", "interval": "1d", "n_bars": 721, "start_equity": 10000.0, "end_equity": 12347.78, "total_return_pct": 23.48, "pnl": 2347.78, "sharpe": 0.469, "sortino": 0.687, "max_drawdown_pct": 43.27, "win_rate": 0.591, "profit_factor": 1.155, "expectancy": 53.766, "trades": [{"time": "2024-09-12 00:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.182088, "entry_px": 54893.84, "exit_px": 58072.87, "pnl_gross": 569.6063, "pnl_net": 560.3499, "fee": 9.256447, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": 5.699, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2024-10-04 00:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.175079, "entry_px": 60343.28, "exit_px": 61997.94, "pnl_gross": 280.0573, "pnl_net": 270.4185, "fee": 9.63872, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": 2.651, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2024-10-11 00:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.17874, "entry_px": 60673.61, "exit_px": 62441.5, "pnl_gross": 306.0884, "pnl_net": 296.1859, "fee": 9.902518, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": 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