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ftdt-quant-lab/backtests/results/iceberg_BTC_4h_365_20260810-083247.json
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ramseshk ad4036713e feat: recent-window backtests (week/month/year) — 207 clean results 
Archived 639 old full-history results. Re-ran sweep on time-windowed
bar limits matching practical trading horizons:

  Last week bars:  1h=168, 4h=42,  1d=7
  Last month bars: 1h=720, 4h=180, 1d=30
  Last year bars:  1h=5000, 4h=2190, 1d=365

270/270 sweep succeeded, 63 zero-trade files archived.
207 results with real trades remain.

Key findings on RECENT (year) data only:

  grid_mm:    S=13.8 (1h), S=9.3 (4h), S=8.1 (1d)
  as_mm:      S=14.8 (1h), S=8.0 (4h), S=3.3 (1d)
  composite:  S=3.2 (1h), S=2.3 (4h), S=0.7 (1d)
  mean_rev:   1d only viable (S=3.5)

  Directional strategies (momentum, obi, iceberg, hurst_vpin)
  all show near-zero or negative Sharpe on recent data.

  Market-making dominates in sideways crypto markets.

Added --window flag to sweep_runner for week/month/year presets
2026-08-10 16:35:25 +08:00

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{"strategy": "iceberg", "interval": "4h", "n_bars": 366, "start_equity": 10000.0, "end_equity": 9902.67, "total_return_pct": -0.97, "pnl": -97.33, "sharpe": -0.363, "sortino": -0.575, "max_drawdown_pct": 5.24, "win_rate": 0.389, "profit_factor": 0.87, "expectancy": -5.407, "trades": [{"time": "2026-06-18 04:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.155327, "entry_px": 64351.29, "exit_px": 64411.52, "pnl_gross": 0.3563, "pnl_net": -8.6439, "fee": 9.000153, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": 0.004, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-06-23 20:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.156, "entry_px": 64076.01, "exit_px": 62643.29, "pnl_gross": -232.3997, "pnl_net": -241.2954, "fee": 8.895695, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": -2.325, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-06-25 04:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.162718, "entry_px": 60002.94, "exit_px": 61812.13, "pnl_gross": 285.4671, "pnl_net": 276.5474, "fee": 8.919677, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": 2.924, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-06-29 12:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.167273, "entry_px": 60075.01, "exit_px": 59732.21, "pnl_gross": -66.3604, "pnl_net": -75.3786, "fee": 9.018231, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": -0.66, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-07-02 08:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.166182, "entry_px": 60070.01, "exit_px": 61303.64, "pnl_gross": 195.93, "pnl_net": 186.8535, "fee": 9.076552, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": 1.963, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-07-07 04:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.162689, "entry_px": 62563.5, "exit_px": 63024.91, "pnl_gross": 65.8723, "pnl_net": 56.678, "fee": 9.194334, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": 0.647, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-07-08 20:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.164267, "entry_px": 62363.3, "exit_px": 62220.72, "pnl_gross": -32.6312, "pnl_net": -41.8405, "fee": 9.209269, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": -0.319, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-07-13 12:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.162415, "entry_px": 62873.81, "exit_px": 62572.36, "pnl_gross": -58.1277, "pnl_net": -67.2962, "fee": 9.168453, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": -0.569, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-07-14 04:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.162849, "entry_px": 62349.29, "exit_px": 62473.46, "pnl_gross": 11.0749, "pnl_net": 1.9276, "fee": 9.147267, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": 0.109, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-07-15 08:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.156222, "entry_px": 65065.0, "exit_px": 64664.27, "pnl_gross": -71.7228, "pnl_net": -80.8428, "fee": 9.119955, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": -0.706, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-07-18 04:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.157161, "entry_px": 64220.16, "exit_px": 63931.0, "pnl_gross": -54.5065, "pnl_net": -63.5697, "fee": 9.063164, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": -0.54, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-07-21 00:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.154309, "entry_px": 65053.99, "exit_px": 65473.46, "pnl_gross": 55.6647, "pnl_net": 46.601, "fee": 9.063702, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": 0.555, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-07-21 08:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.152395, "entry_px": 66236.17, "exit_px": 66253.68, "pnl_gross": -6.4174, "pnl_net": -15.5033, "fee": 9.085856, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": -0.064, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-07-21 16:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.151215, "entry_px": 66710.64, "exit_px": 66350.58, "pnl_gross": -63.5011, "pnl_net": -72.5555, "fee": 9.054384, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": -0.629, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-07-28 08:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.15712, "entry_px": 63799.74, "exit_px": 63377.56, "pnl_gross": -75.3242, "pnl_net": -84.3161, "fee": 8.991944, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": -0.751, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-07-30 04:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.156364, "entry_px": 63626.56, "exit_px": 63913.02, "pnl_gross": 35.8178, "pnl_net": 26.8437, "fee": 8.974169, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": 0.36, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-08-04 04:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.156265, "entry_px": 63895.83, "exit_px": 63595.34, "pnl_gross": -55.9214, "pnl_net": -64.8865, "fee": 8.965083, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": -0.56, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-08-06 04:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.153079, "entry_px": 64860.8, "exit_px": 64719.22, "pnl_gross": -30.599, "pnl_net": -39.5252, "fee": 8.926191, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": -0.308, "duration": ""}], "params": {"vol_mult": 1.8, "min_consec": 3, "max_hold": 8, "type": "Momentum"}, "fee_info": {"entry_fee": 0.045, "exit_fee": 0.045, "total_fee": 0.09, "taker_rate_pct": 0.045, "maker_rate_pct": 0.015, "effective_rate_pct": 0.045, "vip_tier": 0, "staking_tier": "none", "fee_model": 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