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ftdt-quant-lab/backtests/results/iceberg_BTC_1d_720_20260810-083252.json
T
ramseshk ad4036713e feat: recent-window backtests (week/month/year) — 207 clean results 
Archived 639 old full-history results. Re-ran sweep on time-windowed
bar limits matching practical trading horizons:

  Last week bars:  1h=168, 4h=42,  1d=7
  Last month bars: 1h=720, 4h=180, 1d=30
  Last year bars:  1h=5000, 4h=2190, 1d=365

270/270 sweep succeeded, 63 zero-trade files archived.
207 results with real trades remain.

Key findings on RECENT (year) data only:

  grid_mm:    S=13.8 (1h), S=9.3 (4h), S=8.1 (1d)
  as_mm:      S=14.8 (1h), S=8.0 (4h), S=3.3 (1d)
  composite:  S=3.2 (1h), S=2.3 (4h), S=0.7 (1d)
  mean_rev:   1d only viable (S=3.5)

  Directional strategies (momentum, obi, iceberg, hurst_vpin)
  all show near-zero or negative Sharpe on recent data.

  Market-making dominates in sideways crypto markets.

Added --window flag to sweep_runner for week/month/year presets
2026-08-10 16:35:25 +08:00

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{"strategy": "iceberg", "interval": "1d", "n_bars": 721, "start_equity": 10000.0, "end_equity": 6851.64, "total_return_pct": -31.48, "pnl": -3148.36, "sharpe": -0.637, "sortino": -0.846, "max_drawdown_pct": 40.6, "win_rate": 0.435, "profit_factor": 0.616, "expectancy": -68.443, "trades": [{"time": "2024-09-21 00:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.161476, "entry_px": 61900.84, "exit_px": 63283.65, "pnl_gross": 214.1949, "pnl_net": 205.0985, "fee": 9.096431, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": 2.143, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2024-10-04 00:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.167646, "entry_px": 60899.84, "exit_px": 61997.94, "pnl_gross": 174.8205, "pnl_net": 165.549, "fee": 9.271495, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": 1.712, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2024-10-26 00:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.15546, "entry_px": 66797.73, "exit_px": 67005.93, "pnl_gross": 23.0056, "pnl_net": 13.6451, "fee": 9.360503, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": 0.222, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2024-11-04 00:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.149532, "entry_px": 69599.53, "exit_px": 67821.11, "pnl_gross": -275.177, "pnl_net": -284.4239, "fee": 9.246952, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": -2.644, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2024-11-09 00:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.13382, "entry_px": 75715.64, "exit_px": 76688.24, "pnl_gross": 120.9753, "pnl_net": 111.7977, "fee": 9.177609, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": 1.194, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2024-11-15 00:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.11538, "entry_px": 88864.78, "exit_px": 91015.89, "pnl_gross": 238.856, "pnl_net": 229.5164, "fee": 9.339584, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": 2.33, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2024-12-07 00:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.106214, "entry_px": 98781.68, "exit_px": 99822.08, "pnl_gross": 101.0116, "pnl_net": 91.519, "fee": 9.492525, "fee_rate_pct": 0.045, "return_pct": 0.963, "duration": 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