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ftdt-quant-lab/backtests/results/composite_mm_BTC_1d_365_20260810-083213.json
T
ramseshk ad4036713e feat: recent-window backtests (week/month/year) — 207 clean results 
Archived 639 old full-history results. Re-ran sweep on time-windowed
bar limits matching practical trading horizons:

  Last week bars:  1h=168, 4h=42,  1d=7
  Last month bars: 1h=720, 4h=180, 1d=30
  Last year bars:  1h=5000, 4h=2190, 1d=365

270/270 sweep succeeded, 63 zero-trade files archived.
207 results with real trades remain.

Key findings on RECENT (year) data only:

  grid_mm:    S=13.8 (1h), S=9.3 (4h), S=8.1 (1d)
  as_mm:      S=14.8 (1h), S=8.0 (4h), S=3.3 (1d)
  composite:  S=3.2 (1h), S=2.3 (4h), S=0.7 (1d)
  mean_rev:   1d only viable (S=3.5)

  Directional strategies (momentum, obi, iceberg, hurst_vpin)
  all show near-zero or negative Sharpe on recent data.

  Market-making dominates in sideways crypto markets.

Added --window flag to sweep_runner for week/month/year presets
2026-08-10 16:35:25 +08:00

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{"strategy": "composite_mm", "interval": "1d", "n_bars": 366, "start_equity": 10000.0, "end_equity": 5637.92, "total_return_pct": -43.62, "pnl": -4362.08, "sharpe": -1.619, "sortino": -2.046, "max_drawdown_pct": 47.44, "win_rate": 0.381, "profit_factor": 0.228, "expectancy": -207.718, "trades": [{"time": "2025-08-28 00:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.086484, "entry_px": 115610.49, "exit_px": 112492.4, "pnl_gross": -272.626, "pnl_net": -275.5851, "fee": 2.959088, "fee_rate_pct": 0.015, "return_pct": -2.727, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2025-10-10 00:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.080622, "entry_px": 120636.52, "exit_px": 112648.24, "pnl_gross": -646.8493, "pnl_net": -649.6704, "fee": 2.821183, "fee_rate_pct": 0.015, "return_pct": -6.651, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2025-10-21 00:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.078785, "entry_px": 115239.12, "exit_px": 108136.76, "pnl_gross": -562.2029, "pnl_net": -564.8427, "fee": 2.6398, "fee_rate_pct": 0.015, "return_pct": -6.192, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2025-10-24 00:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.079129, "entry_px": 107635.53, "exit_px": 110948.94, "pnl_gross": 259.5911, "pnl_net": 256.9966, "fee": 2.594456, "fee_rate_pct": 0.015, "return_pct": 3.048, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2025-11-27 00:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.086417, "entry_px": 101561.46, "exit_px": 91218.69, "pnl_gross": -896.286, "pnl_net": -898.7849, "fee": 2.498922, "fee_rate_pct": 0.015, "return_pct": -10.212, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2025-12-04 00:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.086287, "entry_px": 91328.24, "exit_px": 91941.97, "pnl_gross": 50.5848, "pnl_net": 48.2127, "fee": 2.372075, "fee_rate_pct": 0.015, "return_pct": 0.642, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2025-12-22 00:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.091905, "entry_px": 86296.21, "exit_px": 88484.43, "pnl_gross": 198.6978, "pnl_net": 196.2883, "fee": 2.409482, "fee_rate_pct": 0.015, "return_pct": 2.505, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-02-16 00:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.090691, "entry_px": 89641.55, "exit_px": 68801.13, "pnl_gross": -1892.196, "pnl_net": -1894.3514, "fee": 2.155399, "fee_rate_pct": 0.015, "return_pct": -23.275, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-02-25 00:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.096417, "entry_px": 64695.63, "exit_px": 67876.06, "pnl_gross": 304.7307, "pnl_net": 302.8133, "fee": 1.917325, "fee_rate_pct": 0.015, "return_pct": 4.885, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-03-07 00:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.092279, "entry_px": 70898.83, "exit_px": 67162.77, "pnl_gross": -346.6702, "pnl_net": -348.5812, "fee": 1.911028, "fee_rate_pct": 0.015, "return_pct": -5.299, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-03-19 00:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.08269, "entry_px": 74928.85, "exit_px": 69849.08, "pnl_gross": -421.8407, "pnl_net": -423.6364, "fee": 1.795753, "fee_rate_pct": 0.015, 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"duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-07-11 00:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.087754, "entry_px": 64219.15, "exit_px": 63759.18, "pnl_gross": -42.0496, "pnl_net": -43.7342, "fee": 1.684592, "fee_rate_pct": 0.015, "return_pct": -0.746, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2026-08-03 00:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.088899, "entry_px": 62918.86, "exit_px": 63428.51, "pnl_gross": 43.623, "pnl_net": 41.9381, "fee": 1.684823, "fee_rate_pct": 0.015, "return_pct": 0.78, "duration": ""}], "params": {"obi_weight": 0.3, "as_weight": 0.4, "hurst_weight": 0.3, "entry_score": 0.5, "type": "Ensemble"}, "fee_info": {"entry_fee": 0.015, "exit_fee": 0.015, "total_fee": 0.03, "taker_rate_pct": 0.045, "maker_rate_pct": 0.015, "effective_rate_pct": 0.015, "vip_tier": 0, "staking_tier": "none", "fee_model": "maker", "tier_name": "Tier 0 (<$5M)", "staking_name": "No Stake"}, "equity_curve": [{"t": "2025-08-10T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 10000.0}, {"t": "2025-08-11T00:00:00+00:00", "v": 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