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ftdt-quant-lab/backtests/results/as_mm_BTC_1d_720_20260810-082915.json
T
ramseshk ad4036713e feat: recent-window backtests (week/month/year) — 207 clean results 
Archived 639 old full-history results. Re-ran sweep on time-windowed
bar limits matching practical trading horizons:

  Last week bars:  1h=168, 4h=42,  1d=7
  Last month bars: 1h=720, 4h=180, 1d=30
  Last year bars:  1h=5000, 4h=2190, 1d=365

270/270 sweep succeeded, 63 zero-trade files archived.
207 results with real trades remain.

Key findings on RECENT (year) data only:

  grid_mm:    S=13.8 (1h), S=9.3 (4h), S=8.1 (1d)
  as_mm:      S=14.8 (1h), S=8.0 (4h), S=3.3 (1d)
  composite:  S=3.2 (1h), S=2.3 (4h), S=0.7 (1d)
  mean_rev:   1d only viable (S=3.5)

  Directional strategies (momentum, obi, iceberg, hurst_vpin)
  all show near-zero or negative Sharpe on recent data.

  Market-making dominates in sideways crypto markets.

Added --window flag to sweep_runner for week/month/year presets
2026-08-10 16:35:25 +08:00

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{"strategy": "as_mm", "interval": "1d", "n_bars": 721, "start_equity": 10000.0, "end_equity": 9982.07, "total_return_pct": -0.18, "pnl": -17.93, "sharpe": 0.108, "sortino": 0.163, "max_drawdown_pct": 18.79, "win_rate": 0.643, "profit_factor": 0.999, "expectancy": -0.114, "trades": [{"time": "2024-09-12 00:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.174387, "entry_px": 57335.28, "exit_px": 58072.87, "pnl_gross": 125.6071, "pnl_net": 122.5882, "fee": 3.018852, "fee_rate_pct": 0.015, "return_pct": 1.256, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2024-09-16 00:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.171052, "entry_px": 59187.13, "exit_px": 58161.78, "pnl_gross": -178.3989, "pnl_net": -181.4099, "fee": 3.010915, "fee_rate_pct": 0.015, "return_pct": -1.762, "duration": ""}, {"time": "2024-09-20 00:00:00", "side": "BUY", "asset": "BTC", "size": 0.157736, "entry_px": 63052.99, "exit_px": 63146.79, "pnl_gross": 11.8097, "pnl_net": 8.8238, "fee": 2.985937, "fee_rate_pct": 0.015, "return_pct": 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