Initial project scaffold: five quant strategies for Hyperliquid Testnet

Set up the directory structure and wrote placeholder logic for:

- Order Book Imbalance: trades on L2 bid/ask skew
- Iceberg/TWAP detection: follows whale accumulation patterns
- Funding rate arbitrage: delta-neutral carry on perp funding
- Pairs trading: BTC/ETH spread mean reversion
- Avellaneda-Stoikov market making: optimal bid/ask quoting

Also added shared risk manager, portfolio tracker, and a plain-language strategy walkthrough in docs/.
This commit is contained in:
ramseshk
2026-08-03 11:12:20 +00:00
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__pycache__/
*.py[cod]
*.egg-info/
.venv/
venv/
.env
*.pem
*_pk
data/
*.parquet
.ipynb_checkpoints/
.idea/
.vscode/
.DS_Store
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# ftdt-quant-lab
# FTDT Quant Lab — Quantitative Trading Strategies
Quantitative trading lab — Nautilus Trader strategies on Hyperliquid Testnet. Part of my professional portfolio.
A collection of quantitative trading strategies running on
**Hyperliquid Testnet** via **Nautilus Trader**. Built as part of
my professional portfolio to demonstrate algorithmic trading,
market microstructure, and risk management skills.
## What's inside
Five strategies, from simple to advanced:
| # | Strategy | Concept |
|---|----------|---------|
| 1 | Order Book Imbalance | Trades on L2 bid/ask pressure |
| 2 | Iceberg / TWAP Detection | Follows whale accumulation patterns |
| 3 | Funding Rate Arbitrage | Delta-neutral carry trade |
| 4 | Pairs Trading (BTC/ETH) | Cointegration-based stat arb |
| 5 | Avellaneda-Stoikov Market Making | Stochastic optimal control |
All strategies share a common risk manager and portfolio tracker.
## Quick start
```bash
# Install dependencies
pip install -r requirements.txt
# Set your Hyperliquid testnet key
export HYPERLIQUID_TESTNET_PK=0x...
# Run live (testnet only)
python live/node.py
```
## Project layout
```
ftdt-quant-lab/
├── config/ # Per-strategy YAML configuration
├── strategies/ # Strategy implementations
├── common/ # Risk manager, portfolio tracker, metrics
├── backtests/ # Historical backtest runners
├── live/ # Live trading node (Hyperliquid Testnet)
├── docs/ # Documentation and strategy writeups
└── notebooks/ # Analysis notebooks
```
## Strategy details
See `docs/STRATEGIES.md` for a walkthrough of each strategy.
## Risk warning
This is **testnet only**. These strategies are educational — they
are not financial advice and have no alpha guarantee. Never run
them on mainnet without thorough backtesting and your own due diligence.
---
Built by [Ramses Echikh](https://git.ftdt.io/rams) · Part of my quant trading portfolio
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# Common utilities package
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"""
Performance metrics.
Sharpe ratio, Sortino ratio, max drawdown, win rate.
Standard toolbox for evaluating a trading strategy.
"""
import numpy as np
def sharpe(returns: list[float], rf: float = 0.0, periods: int = 365) -> float:
if len(returns) < 2:
return 0.0
excess = np.mean(returns) - rf
std = np.std(returns, ddof=1)
return (excess / std) * np.sqrt(periods) if std > 0 else 0.0
def sortino(returns: list[float], rf: float = 0.0, periods: int = 365) -> float:
if len(returns) < 2:
return 0.0
excess = np.mean(returns) - rf
downside = [r for r in returns if r < 0]
d_std = np.std(downside, ddof=1) if downside else 0.0
return (excess / d_std) * np.sqrt(periods) if d_std > 0 else 0.0
def max_drawdown(equity: list[float]) -> float:
if not equity:
return 0.0
peak = equity[0]
worst = 0.0
for v in equity:
if v > peak:
peak = v
dd = (peak - v) / peak if peak > 0 else 0.0
worst = max(worst, dd)
return worst
def win_rate(trades: list[dict]) -> float:
if not trades:
return 0.0
return sum(1 for t in trades if t.get("pnl", 0) > 0) / len(trades)
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"""
Portfolio tracker.
Aggregates positions from all running strategies to prevent
over-concentration in any single instrument.
"""
from dataclasses import dataclass
@dataclass
class Position:
instrument: str
quantity: float
entry_price: float
strategy: str
class PortfolioTracker:
def __init__(self) -> None:
self.positions: dict[str, list[Position]] = {}
def add(self, strategy: str, instrument: str, qty: float, price: float) -> None:
if instrument not in self.positions:
self.positions[instrument] = []
self.positions[instrument].append(Position(instrument, qty, price, strategy))
def net_exposure(self, instrument: str) -> float:
if instrument not in self.positions:
return 0.0
return sum(p.quantity for p in self.positions[instrument])
def all_exposures(self) -> dict[str, float]:
return {inst: self.net_exposure(inst) for inst in self.positions}
def is_overconcentrated(self, instrument: str, max_pct: float, equity: float) -> bool:
return abs(self.net_exposure(instrument)) > equity * max_pct
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"""
Shared risk manager.
Tracks exposure per-strategy and blocks orders that would
exceed position limits, drawdown limits, or daily trade caps.
"""
from dataclasses import dataclass
@dataclass
class RiskLimits:
max_position: float = 0.01
max_drawdown_pct: float = 0.05
max_daily_trades: int = 50
max_leverage: float = 2.0
class RiskManager:
def __init__(self) -> None:
self.strategy_limits: dict[str, RiskLimits] = {}
self.daily_trades: dict[str, int] = {}
self.peak_equity: float = 0.0
def register(self, name: str, limits: RiskLimits) -> None:
self.strategy_limits[name] = limits
self.daily_trades[name] = 0
def can_trade(self, name: str, position: float, equity: float) -> bool:
limits = self.strategy_limits.get(name)
if not limits:
return True
if abs(position) >= limits.max_position:
return False
if self.daily_trades.get(name, 0) >= limits.max_daily_trades:
return False
if self.peak_equity > 0:
dd = 1 - (equity / self.peak_equity)
if dd >= limits.max_drawdown_pct:
return False
return True
def record_trade(self, name: str) -> None:
self.daily_trades[name] = self.daily_trades.get(name, 0) + 1
def update_equity(self, equity: float) -> None:
if equity > self.peak_equity:
self.peak_equity = equity
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# Avellaneda-Stoikov Market Making Strategy
strategy:
name: AvellanedaStoikov
instrument: BTC-USD-PERP
gamma: 0.1
sigma: 0.02
T: 1.0
k: 1.5
min_spread: 0.0001
max_inventory: 0.01
risk:
max_drawdown_pct: 0.03
inventory_hard_limit: 0.015
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# Funding Rate Arbitrage Strategy
strategy:
name: FundingRateArb
spot_instrument: BTC-SPOT
perp_instrument: BTC-USD-PERP
min_funding_rate: 0.0001
rebalance_threshold: 0.05
position_size: 0.01
risk:
max_drawdown_pct: 0.03
max_leverage: 1.0
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# Iceberg / TWAP Detection Strategy
strategy:
name: IcebergDetector
instrument: BTC-USD-PERP
lookback_seconds: 300
volume_spike_mult: 3.0
min_slices: 4
trade_size: 0.001
risk:
max_drawdown_pct: 0.05
max_daily_trades: 10
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# Order Book Imbalance Strategy
strategy:
name: OrderBookImbalance
instrument: BTC-USD-PERP
depth: 10
imbalance_threshold: 0.6
trade_size: 0.001
max_position: 0.003
cooldown_bars: 5
risk:
max_drawdown_pct: 0.05
max_daily_trades: 20
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# Pairs Trading Strategy (BTC-PERP / ETH-PERP)
strategy:
name: PairsTrading
pair: ["BTC-USD-PERP", "ETH-USD-PERP"]
z_entry: 2.0
z_exit: 0.5
lookback_hours: 24
trade_size: 0.001
hedge_ratio: 0.05
risk:
max_drawdown_pct: 0.05
max_position_per_leg: 0.005
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# FTDT Quant Lab - Strategy Walkthrough
A plain-language explanation of each strategy: what it does,
why it works (or might work), and what to watch out for.
---
## 1. Order Book Imbalance
**What it does:**
Watches the order book in real time. If there are way more
buy orders than sell orders stacked up, it buys. If the
opposite, it sells.
**Why it might work:**
When one side of the book is heavy, market orders eat into
that side and push the price toward the thinner side. You're
basically front-running that move.
**Risks:**
- Fake walls — someone puts up a huge order to bait you,
then cancels it.
- Low signal quality in ranging markets.
---
## 2. Iceberg / TWAP Detection
**What it does:**
Looks for big traders slicing their orders into small pieces.
When it spots the pattern, it trades in the same direction.
**Why it might work:**
If someone is accumulating a lot of BTC slowly, they probably
know something (or at least their buying pressure will move
the price). You're piggybacking their flow.
**Risks:**
- False positives — random noise looks like a pattern.
- The whale could be wrong. You're copying someone who
might lose money.
---
## 3. Funding Rate Arbitrage
**What it does:**
Hyperliquid charges a funding rate every 8 hours. When it's
positive, people who are long pay people who are short.
This strategy goes long spot (no funding) and short perp
(collects funding), staying delta-neutral the whole time.
**Why it works:**
It doesn't bet on direction — it bets on the funding
mechanism itself. You earn the rate regardless of whether
BTC goes up or down.
**Risks:**
- Funding rate can flip (you'd have to close and reopen
the other way).
- Execution risk — if one leg fails, you're no longer
delta-neutral.
---
## 4. Pairs Trading (BTC/ETH)
**What it does:**
Tracks the price ratio between BTC and ETH. When the spread
gets unusually wide, it bets it will narrow. Short the
expensive one, long the cheap one.
**Why it might work:**
BTC and ETH tend to move together over time. Big moves apart
from each other often snap back. This trades the snap-back.
**Risks:**
- Regime change — if something fundamentally changes the
BTC/ETH relationship, the spread might never revert.
- Needs enough data to calculate a reliable mean.
---
## 5. Avellaneda-Stoikov Market Making
**What it does:**
Places buy and sell orders at optimal prices around the
midpoint, adjusting based on how much inventory you're
holding and how much time is left in your trading session.
**Why it works:**
Market makers profit from the spread (buy low, sell high).
The A-S model tells you exactly where to place your bid
and ask to balance profit vs risk.
**Risks:**
- Adverse selection — someone who knows more than you
picks off your quotes.
- Requires low latency and accurate volatility estimates.
- More of a "keep the machine running" strategy than
a get-rich-quick one. The edge is small per trade.
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"""
Live trading node for Hyperliquid Testnet.
Runs all five strategies concurrently with shared risk management.
"""
import asyncio
import os
import sys
async def main():
private_key = os.getenv("HYPERLIQUID_TESTNET_PK")
if not private_key:
print("Set HYPERLIQUID_TESTNET_PK environment variable")
sys.exit(1)
print("=" * 55)
print(" FTDT Quant Lab - Live Trading Node")
print(" Hyperliquid Testnet")
print("=" * 55)
print()
print("Strategies:")
print(" 1. Order Book Imbalance (OFI)")
print(" 2. Iceberg / TWAP Detection")
print(" 3. Funding Rate Arbitrage")
print(" 4. Pairs Trading (BTC/ETH)")
print(" 5. Avellaneda-Stoikov Market Making")
print()
print("Connecting to Hyperliquid Testnet...")
# TODO: Full Nautilus TradingNode integration
print("Ready.")
if __name__ == "__main__":
asyncio.run(main())
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# Nautilus Trader
nautilus-trader>=1.210.0
# Data & Math
numpy>=1.24.0
pandas>=2.0.0
pyyaml>=6.0
# Visualization
matplotlib>=3.7.0
seaborn>=0.12.0
# Optional: dashboard
streamlit>=1.28.0
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# Package init files (make these importable)
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"""
Avellaneda-Stoikov Market Making strategy.
A mathematical model for optimal market making based on
stochastic optimal control. Computes optimal bid/ask quotes
considering current inventory, risk aversion, volatility,
and time horizon.
Key formulas:
Reservation price: r = s - q * gamma * sigma^2 * tau
Optimal spread: delta = gamma * sigma^2 * tau + (2/gamma) * ln(1 + gamma/k)
where:
s = mid price, q = inventory, gamma = risk aversion
sigma = volatility, tau = remaining time, k = order intensity
"""
import math
from nautilus_trader.trading.strategy import Strategy
from nautilus_trader.config import StrategyConfig
from datetime import datetime, timezone
class AvellanedaStoikovConfig(StrategyConfig, frozen=True):
instrument_id: str
gamma: float = 0.1
sigma: float = 0.02
T: float = 1.0
k: float = 1.5
min_spread: float = 0.0001
max_inventory: float = 0.01
class AvellanedaStoikov(Strategy):
"""
A-S optimal market making.
Instead of predicting direction, this strategy provides
liquidity by continuously quoting bid/ask prices at an
optimal distance from the mid price. The spread widens
as inventory builds up (to discourage further accumulation)
and tightens as the time horizon approaches.
"""
def __init__(self, config: AvellanedaStoikovConfig) -> None:
super().__init__(config)
self.config = config
self.start_time: datetime | None = None
def on_start(self) -> None:
self.start_time = self.clock.utc_now()
self.subscribe_quote_ticks(self.config.instrument_id)
self.log.info(
f"A-S MM on {self.config.instrument_id} "
f"(gamma={self.config.gamma})"
)
def on_quote_tick(self, tick) -> None:
self.cancel_all_orders(self.config.instrument_id)
elapsed = (self.clock.utc_now() - self.start_time).total_seconds() / 3600
tau = max(self.config.T - elapsed, 0.01)
q = float(self.portfolio.net_position(self.config.instrument_id))
if abs(q) >= self.config.max_inventory:
return
g = self.config.gamma
s = self.config.sigma
k = self.config.k
mid = (tick.bid + tick.ask) / 2
reservation = mid - q * g * s**2 * tau
spread = g * s**2 * tau + (2 / g) * math.log(1 + g / k)
spread = max(spread, self.config.min_spread)
self.submit_order(self.order_factory.limit(
instrument_id=self.config.instrument_id,
order_side="BUY",
quantity=self.config.max_inventory / 10,
price=reservation - spread / 2,
))
self.submit_order(self.order_factory.limit(
instrument_id=self.config.instrument_id,
order_side="SELL",
quantity=self.config.max_inventory / 10,
price=reservation + spread / 2,
))
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"""
Funding Rate Arbitrage strategy.
Hyperliquid pays funding every 8 hours. When the rate is positive,
longs pay shorts. This strategy:
1. Goes LONG spot (no funding payments)
2. Goes SHORT perp (collects funding)
3. Maintains delta neutrality
The profit comes from funding, not price direction.
"""
from nautilus_trader.trading.strategy import Strategy
from nautilus_trader.config import StrategyConfig
class FundingRateArbConfig(StrategyConfig, frozen=True):
spot_instrument: str
perp_instrument: str
min_funding_rate: float = 0.0001
rebalance_threshold: float = 0.05
position_size: float = 0.01
class FundingRateArb(Strategy):
"""
Delta-neutral funding rate carry trade.
Key idea: funding rate IS the edge. Stay neutral, collect
the payments.
"""
def __init__(self, config: FundingRateArbConfig) -> None:
super().__init__(config)
self.config = config
self.position_open = False
def on_start(self) -> None:
bar_type = f"{self.config.perp_instrument}-1-MINUTE-LAST-INTERNAL"
self.subscribe_bars(bar_type)
self.log.info(
f"Funding arb: {self.config.spot_instrument} / {self.config.perp_instrument}"
)
def on_bar(self, bar) -> None:
funding_rate = self._get_funding_rate()
if funding_rate is None:
return
spot_pos = self.portfolio.net_position(self.config.spot_instrument)
if funding_rate > self.config.min_funding_rate and spot_pos == 0:
self._open()
self.position_open = True
elif funding_rate < self.config.min_funding_rate / 2 and self.position_open:
self._close()
self.position_open = False
def _get_funding_rate(self) -> float | None:
# TODO: fetch from Hyperliquid API
return 0.0001
def _open(self) -> None:
self.submit_order(self.order_factory.market(
instrument_id=self.config.spot_instrument,
order_side="BUY",
quantity=self.config.position_size,
))
self.submit_order(self.order_factory.market(
instrument_id=self.config.perp_instrument,
order_side="SELL",
quantity=self.config.position_size,
))
def _close(self) -> None:
self.close_all_positions(self.config.spot_instrument)
self.close_all_positions(self.config.perp_instrument)
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"""
Iceberg / TWAP detection strategy.
Large traders often split big orders into small slices to avoid
slippage. This strategy detects those patterns by watching for
recurring same-sized trades above average volume, then enters
in the same direction.
"""
from collections import deque
from nautilus_trader.trading.strategy import Strategy
from nautilus_trader.config import StrategyConfig
class IcebergDetectorConfig(StrategyConfig, frozen=True):
instrument_id: str
lookback_seconds: int = 300
volume_spike_mult: float = 3.0
min_slices: int = 4
trade_size: float = 0.001
class IcebergDetector(Strategy):
"""
Detects iceberg/TWAP execution patterns.
Logic:
1. Track trade sizes in a rolling window
2. When a trade is much larger than average, flag it
3. If same size repeats N times -> confirmed iceberg
4. Trade in the same direction
"""
def __init__(self, config: IcebergDetectorConfig) -> None:
super().__init__(config)
self.config = config
self.recent_sizes: deque[float] = deque(maxlen=100)
self.slice_count = 0
self.last_flagged_size: float | None = None
def on_start(self) -> None:
self.subscribe_trade_ticks(self.config.instrument_id)
self.log.info(f"Iceberg detector started on {self.config.instrument_id}")
def on_trade_tick(self, tick) -> None:
self.recent_sizes.append(tick.size)
avg = sum(self.recent_sizes) / len(self.recent_sizes) if self.recent_sizes else 0
if tick.size > avg * self.config.volume_spike_mult:
if tick.size == self.last_flagged_size:
self.slice_count += 1
else:
self.slice_count = 1
self.last_flagged_size = tick.size
else:
self.slice_count = 0
if self.slice_count >= self.config.min_slices:
self.log.info(
f"Iceberg: {self.slice_count} slices of size {self.last_flagged_size}"
)
self.submit_order(self.order_factory.market(
instrument_id=self.config.instrument_id,
order_side="BUY" if tick.is_buyer_maker else "SELL",
quantity=self.config.trade_size,
))
self.slice_count = 0
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"""
Order Book Imbalance strategy.
Enters positions when bid/ask volume at the top of the order book
shows a significant directional skew. The idea: when one side of
the book is much heavier, price tends to move toward the thinner
side as the heavy side absorbs market orders.
"""
from nautilus_trader.trading.strategy import Strategy
from nautilus_trader.config import StrategyConfig
class OrderBookImbalanceConfig(StrategyConfig, frozen=True):
instrument_id: str
depth: int = 10
imbalance_threshold: float = 0.6
trade_size: float = 0.001
max_position: float = 0.003
cooldown_bars: int = 5
class OrderBookImbalance(Strategy):
"""
Trades on L2 order book imbalance.
- imbalance > threshold -> bid side heavy -> buy
- imbalance < 1-threshold -> ask side heavy -> sell
"""
def __init__(self, config: OrderBookImbalanceConfig) -> None:
super().__init__(config)
self.config = config
self.bars_since_last_trade = 0
def on_start(self) -> None:
self.subscribe_order_book_deltas(
self.config.instrument_id,
depth=self.config.depth,
)
self.log.info(
f"OFI started on {self.config.instrument_id} "
f"(depth={self.config.depth})"
)
def on_order_book_deltas(self, deltas) -> None:
self.bars_since_last_trade += 1
if self.bars_since_last_trade < self.config.cooldown_bars:
return
book = self.cache.order_book(self.config.instrument_id)
if not book or len(book.bids) == 0 or len(book.asks) == 0:
return
depth = min(self.config.depth, len(book.bids), len(book.asks))
bid_vol = sum(book.bids[i].size for i in range(depth))
ask_vol = sum(book.asks[i].size for i in range(depth))
total = bid_vol + ask_vol
if total == 0:
return
imbalance = bid_vol / total
pos = self.portfolio.net_position(self.config.instrument_id)
if imbalance > self.config.imbalance_threshold and pos <= 0:
self._enter("BUY")
self.bars_since_last_trade = 0
elif imbalance < (1 - self.config.imbalance_threshold) and pos >= 0:
self._enter("SELL")
self.bars_since_last_trade = 0
def _enter(self, side: str) -> None:
self.submit_order(self.order_factory.market(
instrument_id=self.config.instrument_id,
order_side=side,
quantity=self.config.trade_size,
))
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"""
Pairs Trading strategy (BTC-PERP / ETH-PERP).
Computes the Z-score of the BTC-ETH spread over a rolling window.
When the spread moves beyond a threshold, trades mean reversion.
- Z > +2: BTC expensive -> short BTC, long ETH
- Z < -2: BTC cheap -> long BTC, short ETH
"""
import numpy as np
from nautilus_trader.trading.strategy import Strategy
from nautilus_trader.config import StrategyConfig
class PairsTradingConfig(StrategyConfig, frozen=True):
pair: tuple[str, str]
z_entry: float = 2.0
z_exit: float = 0.5
lookback_hours: int = 24
trade_size: float = 0.001
hedge_ratio: float = 0.05
class PairsTrading(Strategy):
"""
Statistical arbitrage on BTC/ETH spread.
Assumes BTC and ETH are cointegrated — the spread between
them tends to revert to a mean. Trades the deviations.
"""
def __init__(self, config: PairsTradingConfig) -> None:
super().__init__(config)
self.config = config
self.price_history: dict[str, list[float]] = {
self.config.pair[0]: [],
self.config.pair[1]: [],
}
self.position_open = False
def on_start(self) -> None:
for inst in self.config.pair:
self.subscribe_bars(f"{inst}-1-MINUTE-LAST-INTERNAL")
self.log.info(f"Pairs trading: {self.config.pair[0]} / {self.config.pair[1]}")
def on_bar(self, bar) -> None:
inst_id = str(bar.bar_type.instrument_id)
if inst_id not in self.price_history:
return
self.price_history[inst_id].append(bar.close.as_double())
a_hist = self.price_history[self.config.pair[0]]
b_hist = self.price_history[self.config.pair[1]]
if len(a_hist) < 100 or len(b_hist) < 100:
return
maxlen = self.config.lookback_hours * 60
self.price_history[self.config.pair[0]] = a_hist[-maxlen:]
self.price_history[self.config.pair[1]] = b_hist[-maxlen:]
a = np.array(a_hist[-100:])
b = np.array(b_hist[-100:])
spread = a - self.config.hedge_ratio * b
std = spread.std()
z = (spread[-1] - spread.mean()) / std if std > 0 else 0
self._signal(z)
def _signal(self, z: float) -> None:
btc_pos = self.portfolio.net_position(self.config.pair[0])
if z > self.config.z_entry and btc_pos <= 0:
self._trade("SELL", "BUY")
self.position_open = True
elif z < -self.config.z_entry and btc_pos >= 0:
self._trade("BUY", "SELL")
self.position_open = True
elif abs(z) < self.config.z_exit and self.position_open:
self.close_all_positions(self.config.pair[0])
self.close_all_positions(self.config.pair[1])
self.position_open = False
def _trade(self, a_side: str, b_side: str) -> None:
self.submit_order(self.order_factory.market(
instrument_id=self.config.pair[0],
order_side=a_side,
quantity=self.config.trade_size,
))
self.submit_order(self.order_factory.market(
instrument_id=self.config.pair[1],
order_side=b_side,
quantity=self.config.trade_size / self.config.hedge_ratio,
))